Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 08/11, 12:00

Prediction: Barcelona vs Breogan

Team pages: Barcelona · Breogan

Prediction summary

Estimated points

196.1Total

Barcelona104

Breogan92.2

1X2

80% 20%

Barcelona Breogan

Recent form · 10 last

Barcelona 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLWLWW

Breogan 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Barcelona 4–2 Breogan (6 last)

Breogan78-109Barcelona
Barcelona100-85Breogan
Barcelona102-79Breogan
Breogan77-70Barcelona
Barcelona85-88Breogan
Breogan63-79Barcelona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barcelona 1589 · Breogan 1541

	Barcelona	Breogan
Our model	69%	31%
Market	83%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 196.1 points · Bet365 line 188.5 · +7.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points196.1Barcelona 104 · Breogan 92.2

Match keys

Barcelona is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Barcelona: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Barcelona	Breogan
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93.4 / 98	101.4 / 95.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.6 / 93.8	103.6 / 97.6
Est. result	104	92

Est. total196.1

Line O/U188.5

Diff.7.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.14

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11)1.87

2 (+11)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 188.51.87

Under 188.51.87

Diff.: 5.45 · Est. total: 193.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.7%

Time*	1	2
09:30 +19’	1.14	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barcelona 4–0–2 Breogan

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Liga ACB	Breogan	78-109	Barcelona
25/10/25 Spain Liga ACB	Barcelona	100-85	Breogan
02/03/25 Spain Liga ACB	Barcelona	102-79	Breogan
10/11/24 Spain Liga ACB	Breogan	77-70	Barcelona
17/03/24 Spain Liga ACB	Barcelona	85-88	Breogan
05/11/23 Spain Liga ACB	Breogan	63-79	Barcelona

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	654	526
2	Valencia	6	4	2	594	523
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	567	497
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	527	479
5	Breogan	6	4	2	628	592
6	Zaragoza	6	4	2	552	523
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	582	570
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	557	556
9	Unicaja Malaga	6	3	3	530	507
10	UCAM Murcia	6	3	3	560	563
11	Monbus Obradoiro	6	3	3	533	576
12	Girona	6	3	3	543	594
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	528	525
14	Joventut	6	2	4	551	549
15	Coruna	6	2	4	540	599
16	BC Andorra	6	1	5	507	579
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	557	641
18	Manresa	6	0	6	506	617

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barcelona	Breogan
Unicaja Malaga	92-89 W	90-103 L
Zaragoza	99-81 W	94-95 L
Joventut	89-113 L	110-104 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Barcelona (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barcelona

WLLLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	92-89	W
24/10	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	99-81	W
18/10	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	89-113	L
11/10	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	89-86	W
04/10	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	94-100	L
26/09	Coruna Spain Liga ACB	119-101	W
24/06	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	84-108	L
22/06	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	80-88	L
20/06	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	75-102	L
18/06	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	113-112	W

Breogan

WWLLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Liga ACB	110-90	W
25/10	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	90-103	L
17/10	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	102-108	L
10/10	Girona Spain Liga ACB	115-92	W
03/10	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	101-95	W
27/09	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	110-104	W
29/05	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	94-95	L
23/05	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	83-101	L
16/05	Girona Spain Liga ACB	95-76	W
13/05	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	114-87	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barcelona vs Breogan?

Our model gives 80% to Barcelona.

How many points are expected in Barcelona vs Breogan?

The model estimates 196.1 total points (Barcelona 104 · Breogan 92.2).