Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 08/11, 17:00

Prediction: Zaragoza vs Unicaja Malaga

Team pages: Zaragoza · Unicaja Malaga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.3Total

Zaragoza88.3

Unicaja Malaga88

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

51% 49%

Zaragoza Unicaja Malaga

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Zaragoza 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Unicaja Malaga 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Zaragoza 2–4 Unicaja Malaga (6 last)

Unicaja Malaga112-89Zaragoza
Zaragoza79-86Unicaja Malaga
Zaragoza84-69Unicaja Malaga
Unicaja Malaga85-71Zaragoza
Unicaja Malaga83-72Zaragoza
Zaragoza100-92Unicaja Malaga

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zaragoza 1492 · Unicaja Malaga 1555

	Zaragoza	Unicaja Malaga
Our model	54%	46%
Market	50%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 176.3 points · Bet365 line 178.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points176.3Zaragoza 88.3 · Unicaja Malaga 88

Match keys

H2H favours Unicaja Malaga: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Zaragoza	Unicaja Malaga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.6 / 91.6	86.3 / 86.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	94.2 / 88.6	88.6 / 83.6
Est. result	88	88

Est. total176.3

Line O/U178.5

Diff.2.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.87

21.87

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.80

2 (-1.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 178.51.87

Under 178.51.87

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 177.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.87 → 1.87	Bet365 1.87
2	1.87 → 1.87	Bet365 1.87

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	2
08:48 +1’	1.87	1.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaragoza 2–0–4 Unicaja Malaga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	112-89	Zaragoza
15/11/25 Spain Liga ACB	Zaragoza	79-86	Unicaja Malaga
15/03/25 Spain Liga ACB	Zaragoza	84-69	Unicaja Malaga
04/01/25 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	85-71	Zaragoza
13/04/24 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	83-72	Zaragoza
27/09/23 Spain Liga ACB	Zaragoza	100-92	Unicaja Malaga

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	654	526
2	Valencia	6	4	2	594	523
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	567	497
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	527	479
5	Breogan	6	4	2	628	592
6	Zaragoza	6	4	2	552	523
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	582	570
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	557	556
9	Unicaja Malaga	6	3	3	530	507
10	UCAM Murcia	6	3	3	560	563
11	Monbus Obradoiro	6	3	3	533	576
12	Girona	6	3	3	543	594
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	528	525
14	Joventut	6	2	4	551	549
15	Coruna	6	2	4	540	599
16	BC Andorra	6	1	5	507	579
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	557	641
18	Manresa	6	0	6	506	617

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zaragoza	Unicaja Malaga
Barcelona	81-99 L	89-92 L
Tenerife	81-80 W	75-80 L
Breogan	95-94 W	103-90 W
UCAM Murcia	90-100 L	69-87 L
Manresa	83-101 L	84-72 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Unicaja Malaga (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zaragoza

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	Girona Spain Liga ACB	107-78	W
24/10	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	81-99	L
18/10	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	109-98	W
10/10	Coruna Spain Liga ACB	92-71	W
04/10	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	82-97	L
27/09	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	81-80	W
29/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	95-94	W
26/05	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	86-98	L
24/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	90-100	L
16/05	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	83-101	L

Unicaja Malaga

LWLLLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	89-92	L
25/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	103-90	W
17/10	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	84-72	W
10/10	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	92-84	W
03/10	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	75-80	L
27/09	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	87-89	L
29/05	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	89-92	L
26/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	74-95	L
23/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W
17/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	69-87	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zaragoza vs Unicaja Malaga?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Zaragoza 51% · Unicaja Malaga 49%).

How many points are expected in Zaragoza vs Unicaja Malaga?

The model estimates 176.3 total points (Zaragoza 88.3 · Unicaja Malaga 88).