Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 15/11, 12:30

Prediction: Unicaja Malaga vs Girona

Team pages: Unicaja Malaga · Girona

Prediction summary

Estimated points

178.5Total

Unicaja Malaga95.6

Girona82.8

1X2

82% 18%

Unicaja Malaga Girona

Recent form · 10 last

Unicaja Malaga 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWWLL

Girona 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWWLW

Head-to-head

Unicaja Malaga 5–1 Girona (6 last)

Girona83-90Unicaja Malaga
Unicaja Malaga95-71Girona
Girona91-85Unicaja Malaga
Unicaja Malaga90-73Girona
Unicaja Malaga111-80Girona
Girona78-82Unicaja Malaga

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Unicaja Malaga 1551 · Girona 1512

	Unicaja Malaga	Girona
Our model	68%	32%
Market	86%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 178.5 points · Bet365 line 179.5 · -1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points178.5Unicaja Malaga 95.6 · Girona 82.8

Match keys

Unicaja Malaga is a clear favourite (82% market).
H2H favours Unicaja Malaga: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Unicaja Malaga	Girona
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88.5 / 87.3	87.3 / 93.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	91.8 / 86.8	94.6 / 97.2
Est. result	96	83

Est. total178.5

Line O/U179.5

Diff.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.10

26.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-11.5)1.80

2 (+11.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 179.51.87

Under 179.51.87

Diff.: 1 · Est. total: 178.5

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 23:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.10▼	Bet365 1.10
2	5.25 → 6.75▲	Bet365 6.75

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 5.3%

Time*	1	2
20:29 +29’	1.15	5.25
21:46 +12’	1.10▼	6.75▲
22:44 +4’	1.15▲	5.25▼
23:30 +17’	1.10▼	6.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Unicaja Malaga 5–0–1 Girona

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Spain Liga ACB	Girona	83-90	Unicaja Malaga
01/11/25 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	95-71	Girona
25/01/25 Spain Liga ACB	Girona	91-85	Unicaja Malaga
28/09/24 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	90-73	Girona
30/03/24 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	111-80	Girona
11/11/23 Spain Liga ACB	Girona	78-82	Unicaja Malaga

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	7	7	0	744	597
2	Valencia	7	5	2	694	616
3	Baskonia	7	5	2	665	590
4	Tenerife	7	5	2	607	553
5	Zaragoza	7	5	2	648	614
6	Barcelona	7	5	2	681	661
7	Breogan	7	4	3	719	691
8	Bilbao	7	4	3	644	648
9	Girona	7	4	3	635	681
10	Unicaja Malaga	7	3	4	621	603
11	UCAM Murcia	7	3	4	631	653
12	Monbus Obradoiro	7	3	4	632	676
13	Coruna	7	3	4	643	699
14	Joventut	7	2	5	625	629
15	San Pablo Burgos	7	2	5	621	625
16	BC Andorra	7	1	6	607	682
17	Forca Lleida	7	1	6	650	739
18	Manresa	7	1	6	606	716

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Unicaja Malaga	Girona
Zaragoza	91-96 L	78-107 L
Breogan	103-90 W	92-115 L
Baskonia	89-92 L	78-118 L
Joventut	74-95 L	101-87 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Unicaja Malaga (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Unicaja Malaga

WLLLLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	91-96	L
01/11	Barcelona Spain Liga ACB	89-92	L
25/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	103-90	W
17/10	Manresa Spain Liga ACB	84-72	W
10/10	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	92-84	W
03/10	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	75-80	L
27/09	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	87-89	L
29/05	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	89-92	L
26/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	74-95	L
23/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W

Girona

LLWWLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	92-87	W
31/10	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	78-107	L
25/10	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	101-87	W
18/10	Coruna Spain Liga ACB	110-90	W
10/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	92-115	L
04/10	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	78-118	L
27/09	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	84-77	W
29/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	82-77	W
24/05	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	80-86	L
16/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	76-95	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Unicaja Malaga vs Girona?

Our model gives 82% to Unicaja Malaga.

How many points are expected in Unicaja Malaga vs Girona?

The model estimates 178.5 total points (Unicaja Malaga 95.6 · Girona 82.8).