Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: Forca Lleida vs Manresa

Team pages: Forca Lleida · Manresa

Prediction summary

Estimated points

193Total

Forca Lleida97.9

Manresa95.1

1X2

58% 42%

Forca Lleida Manresa

Recent form · 10 last

Forca Lleida 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLLLL

Manresa 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Forca Lleida 2–4 Manresa (6 last)

Manresa99-103Forca Lleida
Forca Lleida90-99Manresa
Manresa99-86Forca Lleida
Forca Lleida90-95Manresa
Manresa81-78Forca Lleida
Manresa89-95Forca Lleida

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forca Lleida 1432 · Manresa 1504

	Forca Lleida	Manresa
Our model	53%	47%
Market	60%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 193 points · Bet365 line 188.5 · +4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points193Forca Lleida 97.9 · Manresa 95.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manresa (rating 1432 vs 1504).
H2H favours Manresa: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Forca Lleida	Manresa
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.8 / 104.3	88.8 / 96.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	92.8 / 109	83.8 / 101.6
Est. result	98	95

Est. total193

Line O/U188.5

Diff.4.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.59

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.87

2 (+3.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 188.51.87

Under 188.51.87

Diff.: 1.75 · Est. total: 190.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.59	Bet365 1.59
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.5%

Time*	1	2
20:30 +28’	1.59	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Forca Lleida 2–0–4 Manresa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Club Friendlies	Manresa	99-103	Forca Lleida
08/02/26 Spain Liga ACB	Forca Lleida	90-99	Manresa
16/11/25 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	99-86	Forca Lleida
17/09/25 Club Friendlies	Forca Lleida	90-95	Manresa
07/09/25 Club Friendlies	Manresa	81-78	Forca Lleida
29/03/25 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	89-95	Forca Lleida

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Real Madrid	7	7	0	744	597
2	Valencia	7	5	2	694	616
3	Baskonia	7	5	2	665	590
4	Tenerife	7	5	2	607	553
5	Zaragoza	7	5	2	648	614
6	Barcelona	7	5	2	681	661
7	Breogan	7	4	3	719	691
8	Bilbao	7	4	3	644	648
9	Girona	7	4	3	635	681
10	Unicaja Malaga	7	3	4	621	603
11	UCAM Murcia	7	3	4	631	653
12	Monbus Obradoiro	7	3	4	632	676
13	Coruna	7	3	4	643	699
14	Joventut	7	2	5	625	629
15	San Pablo Burgos	7	2	5	621	625
16	BC Andorra	7	1	6	607	682
17	Forca Lleida	7	1	6	650	739
18	Manresa	7	1	6	606	716

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forca Lleida	Manresa
Baskonia	93-98 L	83-106 L
Real Madrid	86-122 L	83-120 L
Zaragoza	98-109 L	101-83 W
Monbus Obradoiro	89-91 L	100-99 W
San Pablo Burgos	81-94 L	81-99 L
Gran Canaria	75-72 W	87-80 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forca Lleida

WLLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	93-98	L
31/10	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	98-125	L
25/10	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	86-122	L
18/10	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	98-109	L
11/10	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Liga ACB	89-91	L
04/10	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	81-94	L
27/09	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	105-100	W
29/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	95-116	L
24/05	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	88-116	L
17/05	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	75-72	W

Manresa

WWWLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Monbus Obradoiro Spain Liga ACB	100-99	W
01/11	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	83-106	L
24/10	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	81-99	L
17/10	Unicaja Malaga Spain Liga ACB	72-84	L
11/10	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	83-120	L
03/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	95-101	L
26/09	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	92-107	L
29/05	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	94-87	W
23/05	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	87-80	W
16/05	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forca Lleida vs Manresa?

Our model gives 58% to Forca Lleida.

How many points are expected in Forca Lleida vs Manresa?

The model estimates 193 total points (Forca Lleida 97.9 · Manresa 95.1).