Basketball · Spain Liga ACB · 17/10, 18:00

Prediction: Manresa vs Unicaja Malaga

Team pages: Manresa · Unicaja Malaga

Prediction summary

Estimated points

181.9Total

Manresa89.6

Unicaja Malaga92.4

1X2

42% 58%

Manresa Unicaja Malaga

Recent form · 10 last

Manresa 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWLLL

Unicaja Malaga 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Manresa 1–5 Unicaja Malaga (6 last)

Manresa92-98Unicaja Malaga
Unicaja Malaga105-82Manresa
Unicaja Malaga105-97Manresa
Manresa109-69Unicaja Malaga
Manresa63-86Unicaja Malaga
Unicaja Malaga87-79Manresa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Manresa 1461 · Unicaja Malaga 1516

	Manresa	Unicaja Malaga
Our model	55%	45%
Market	39%	61%

Estimated total (ours) 181.9 points · Bet365 line 177.5 · +4.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points181.9Manresa 89.6 · Unicaja Malaga 92.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unicaja Malaga (rating 1461 vs 1516).
H2H favours Unicaja Malaga: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Manresa	Unicaja Malaga
Points F\|A (Last 10)	92.3 / 95.9	86.8 / 88
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.2 / 99	83.4 / 88
Est. result	90	92

Est. total181.9

Line O/U177.5

Diff.4.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.40

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.87

2 (-3.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 177.51.87

Under 177.51.87

Diff.: 4 · Est. total: 181.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
2	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	2
21:49 +9’	2.40	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Manresa 1–0–5 Unicaja Malaga

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/02/26 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	92-98	Unicaja Malaga
22/11/25 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	105-82	Manresa
02/03/25 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	105-97	Manresa
02/11/24 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	109-69	Unicaja Malaga
21/05/24 Spain Liga ACB	Manresa	63-86	Unicaja Malaga
16/05/24 Spain Liga ACB	Unicaja Malaga	87-79	Manresa

Standings · Spain Liga ACB

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Baskonia	3	3	0	309	248
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	323	277
3	Breogan	3	3	0	326	291
4	Bilbao	3	2	1	304	283
5	Tenerife	3	2	1	250	233
6	Barcelona	3	2	1	302	287
7	Zaragoza	3	2	1	255	248
8	Monbus Obradoiro	3	2	1	288	288
9	Valencia	3	1	2	283	276
10	San Pablo Burgos	3	1	2	278	275
11	Unicaja Malaga	3	1	2	254	253
12	Forca Lleida	3	1	2	275	285
13	UCAM Murcia	3	1	2	254	268
14	Coruna	3	1	2	276	312
15	Girona	3	1	2	254	310
16	BC Andorra	2	0	2	169	182
17	Joventut	2	0	2	177	203
18	Manresa	3	0	3	270	328

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manresa	Unicaja Malaga
Real Madrid	83-120 L	87-89 L
Breogan	95-101 L	101-83 W
Gran Canaria	87-80 W	100-101 L
BC Andorra	94-104 L	92-84 W
San Pablo Burgos	94-101 L	90-97 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Unicaja Malaga (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manresa

LWLWWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/10	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	83-120	L
03/10	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	95-101	L
26/09	Bilbao Spain Liga ACB	92-107	L
29/05	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	94-87	W
23/05	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	87-80	W
16/05	Zaragoza Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W
12/05	Girona Spain Liga ACB	79-74	W
10/05	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	94-104	L
03/05	Valencia Spain Liga ACB	104-102	W
26/04	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	94-101	L

Unicaja Malaga

WLLLWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	BC Andorra Spain Liga ACB	92-84	W
03/10	Tenerife Spain Liga ACB	75-80	L
27/09	Real Madrid Spain Liga ACB	87-89	L
29/05	Baskonia Spain Liga ACB	89-92	L
26/05	Joventut Spain Liga ACB	74-95	L
23/05	Breogan Spain Liga ACB	101-83	W
17/05	UCAM Murcia Spain Liga ACB	69-87	L
14/05	San Pablo Burgos Spain Liga ACB	90-97	L
29/04	Gran Canaria Spain Liga ACB	100-101	L
25/04	Forca Lleida Spain Liga ACB	91-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manresa vs Unicaja Malaga?

Our model gives 58% to Unicaja Malaga.

How many points are expected in Manresa vs Unicaja Malaga?

The model estimates 181.9 total points (Manresa 89.6 · Unicaja Malaga 92.4).