Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 19/09, 15:50

Prediction: Lietkabelis vs Juventus

Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.4Total
Lietkabelis84.4
Juventus82
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
57% 43%
Lietkabelis Juventus

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Lietkabelis 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLLWLL
Juventus 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWWWLWLLL
Head-to-head
Lietkabelis 4–2 Juventus (6 last)
  • Lietkabelis91-69Juventus
  • Juventus80-83Lietkabelis
  • Lietkabelis81-68Juventus
  • Lietkabelis89-83Juventus
  • Juventus76-73Lietkabelis
  • Juventus82-73Lietkabelis
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lietkabelis 1465 · Juventus 1479
LietkabelisJuventus
Our model61%39%
Market56%44%
Estimated total (ours) 166.4 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · -4.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points166.4Lietkabelis 84.4 · Juventus 82

Match keys

  • H2H favours Lietkabelis: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

LietkabelisJuventus
Points F|A (Last 10)78.3 / 82.287.6 / 94.7
Points F|A (Last 5)78.2 / 82.881.6 / 98.8
Est. result8482
Est. total166.4
Line O/U170.5
Diff.4.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lietkabelis 402 Juventus

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/04/26
Lithuania LKL
Lietkabelis91-69Juventus
07/03/26
Lithuania LKL
Juventus80-83Lietkabelis
18/01/26
Lithuania Cup
Lietkabelis81-68Juventus
04/01/26
Lithuania LKL
Lietkabelis89-83Juventus
20/12/25
Lithuania Cup
Juventus76-73Lietkabelis
25/10/25
Lithuania LKL
Juventus82-73Lietkabelis

Standings · Lithuania LKL

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Zalgiris 110 98770
2 Gargzdu Gargzdai SC 101 77980
3 Jonava 000 000
3 Juventus 000 000
3 Lietkabelis 000 000
3 Neptunas 000 000
3 Nevezis 000 000
3 Rytas Vilnius 000 000
3 Siauliai 000 000
3 Taurages Taurage 000 000

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLietkabelisJuventus
Neptunas 82-91 L 103-90 W
Zalgiris 93-103 L 77-95 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lietkabelis

LWWLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
13/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
82-91 L
11/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
63-66 L
08/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
80-68 W
06/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
73-86 L
31/05 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
93-103 L
28/05 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
75-95 L
26/05 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
75-85 L
22/05 Siauliai
Lithuania LKL
93-77 W
20/05 Siauliai
Lithuania LKL
85-84 W
16/05 Siauliai
Lithuania LKL
64-67 L

Juventus

LWWWWLWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
12/06 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
77-95 L
09/06 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
69-100 L
07/06 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
75-107 L
03/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
103-90 W
01/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
84-102 L
29/05 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
86-83 W
27/05 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
96-83 W
23/05 Rytas Vilnius
Lithuania LKL
101-95 W
21/05 Rytas Vilnius
Lithuania LKL
92-84 W
15/05 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
93-108 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lietkabelis vs Juventus?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Lietkabelis 57% · Juventus 43%).

How many points are expected in Lietkabelis vs Juventus?

The model estimates 166.4 total points (Lietkabelis 84.4 · Juventus 82).