Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 27/09, 18:10

Prediction: Juventus vs Nevezis

Team pages: Juventus · Nevezis

Prediction summary

Estimated points

180.6Total

Juventus94.2

Nevezis86.4

1X2

71% 29%

Juventus Nevezis

Recent form · 10 last

Juventus 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Nevezis 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Juventus 2–4 Nevezis (6 last)

Nevezis95-98Juventus
Juventus76-92Nevezis
Juventus100-102Nevezis
Nevezis79-96Juventus
Nevezis88-84Juventus
Juventus84-90Nevezis

Model analysis

Estimated points180.6Juventus 94.2 · Nevezis 86.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juventus (rating 1485 vs 1419).
Juventus is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Nevezis: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Juventus	Nevezis
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.7 / 93.8	82.4 / 97.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.4 / 97	80.6 / 98.6
Est. result	94	86

Est. total180.6

Line O/U177.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 177.51.89

Under 177.51.85

Diff.: 2.25 · Est. total: 179.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.22	Pinn 1.22
2	3.72 → 3.72	Pinn 3.72

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
18:29 +40’	1.22	3.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juventus 2–0–4 Nevezis

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Lithuania LKL	Nevezis	95-98	Juventus
14/03/26 Lithuania LKL	Juventus	76-92	Nevezis
03/12/25 Lithuania Cup	Juventus	100-102	Nevezis
23/11/25 Lithuania LKL	Nevezis	79-96	Juventus
29/10/25 Lithuania Cup	Nevezis	88-84	Juventus
25/09/25 Lithuania LKL	Juventus	84-90	Nevezis

Standings · Lithuania LKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Zalgiris	2	2	0	191	146
2	Jonava	2	1	1	175	160
3	Taurages Taurage	1	1	0	95	90
4	Siauliai	2	1	1	165	167
5	Lietkabelis	2	1	1	161	168
6	Neptunas	2	1	1	168	177
7	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	2	1	1	167	177
8	Juventus	2	0	2	166	183
9	Nevezis	1	0	1	65	85
10	Rytas Vilnius	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juventus	Nevezis
Neptunas	84-99 L	82-110 L
Lietkabelis	82-84 L	72-105 L
Zalgiris	77-95 L	80-98 L
Rytas Vilnius	101-95 W	88-117 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Juventus (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juventus

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/09	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	84-99	L
19/09	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	82-84	L
12/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	77-95	L
09/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	69-100	L
07/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	75-107	L
03/06	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	103-90	W
01/06	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	84-102	L
29/05	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	86-83	W
27/05	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	96-83	W
23/05	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	101-95	W

Nevezis

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/09	Jonava Lithuania LKL	65-85	L
17/05	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	80-98	L
13/05	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	88-117	L
09/05	Juventus Lithuania LKL	95-98	L
03/05	Siauliai Lithuania LKL	75-95	L
26/04	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	85-90	L
23/04	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	82-110	L
18/04	Jonava Lithuania LKL	89-90	L
15/04	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	72-105	L
11/04	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	93-88	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juventus vs Nevezis?

Our model gives 71% to Juventus.

How many points are expected in Juventus vs Nevezis?

The model estimates 180.6 total points (Juventus 94.2 · Nevezis 86.4).