Prediction: Jonava vs Nevezis
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Jonava90-89Nevezis
- Nevezis88-85Jonava
- Nevezis83-85Jonava
- Nevezis92-74Jonava
- Jonava88-101Nevezis
- Jonava86-82Nevezis
| Jonava | Nevezis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Jonava | Nevezis | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.1 / 90.5 | 85 / 99.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.2 / 95.4 | 84.6 / 99.6 |
| Est. result | 91 | 89 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonava 3–0–3 Nevezis
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Lithuania LKL | Jonava | 90-89 | Nevezis |
| 14/02/26 Lithuania LKL | Nevezis | 88-85 | Jonava |
| 14/12/25 Lithuania LKL | Nevezis | 83-85 | Jonava |
| 06/11/25 Lithuania Cup | Nevezis | 92-74 | Jonava |
| 23/10/25 Lithuania Cup | Jonava | 88-101 | Nevezis |
| 12/10/25 Lithuania LKL | Jonava | 86-82 | Nevezis |
Standings · Lithuania LKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris | 2 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 146 | 0 |
| 2 | Taurages Taurage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 90 | 0 |
| 3 | Lietkabelis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 84 | 82 | 0 |
| 4 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 177 | 0 |
| 5 | Juventus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 82 | 84 | 0 |
| 6 | Jonava | 1 | 0 | 1 | 90 | 95 | 0 |
| 7 | Siauliai | 1 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 90 | 0 |
| 8 | Neptunas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 93 | 0 |
| 9 | Nevezis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rytas Vilnius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jonava | Nevezis |
|---|---|---|
| Zalgiris | 75-90 L | 80-98 L |
| Neptunas | 89-95 L | 82-110 L |
| Juventus | 90-95 L | 95-98 L |
| Siauliai | 86-70 W | 75-95 L |
| Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 109-104 W | 85-90 L |
| Lietkabelis | 69-67 W | 72-105 L |
| Rytas Vilnius | 81-98 L | 88-117 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 0 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Jonava (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jonava
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Taurages Taurage Lithuania LKL |
90-95 | L |
| 22/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
75-90 | L |
| 20/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
82-102 | L |
| 17/05 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
89-95 | L |
| 12/05 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
90-95 | L |
| 09/05 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
86-70 | W |
| 02/05 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
109-104 | W |
| 29/04 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
69-67 | W |
| 22/04 | Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL |
81-98 | L |
| 18/04 | Nevezis Lithuania LKL |
90-89 | W |
Nevezis
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
80-98 | L |
| 13/05 | Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL |
88-117 | L |
| 09/05 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
95-98 | L |
| 03/05 | Siauliai Lithuania LKL |
75-95 | L |
| 26/04 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
85-90 | L |
| 23/04 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
82-110 | L |
| 18/04 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
89-90 | L |
| 15/04 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
72-105 | L |
| 11/04 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
93-88 | W |
| 04/04 | Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL |
91-105 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jonava vs Nevezis?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Jonava 56% · Nevezis 44%).
How many points are expected in Jonava vs Nevezis?
The model estimates 180.2 total points (Jonava 91.1 · Nevezis 89).