Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 23/09, 17:50

Prediction: Siauliai vs Lietkabelis

Team pages: Siauliai · Lietkabelis

Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.5Total
Siauliai82.1
Lietkabelis81.4
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
52% 48%
Siauliai Lietkabelis

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Siauliai 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLWLLL
Lietkabelis 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WWLLLLWLLW
Head-to-head
Siauliai 4–2 Lietkabelis (6 last)
  • Lietkabelis93-77Siauliai
  • Siauliai84-85Lietkabelis
  • Siauliai67-64Lietkabelis
  • Lietkabelis75-77Siauliai
  • Lietkabelis80-86Siauliai
  • Siauliai87-80Lietkabelis
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siauliai 1454 · Lietkabelis 1456
SiauliaiLietkabelis
Our model62%38%
Market49%51%
Estimated total (ours) 163.5 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points163.5Siauliai 82.1 · Lietkabelis 81.4

Match keys

  • H2H favours Siauliai: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

SiauliaiLietkabelis
Points F|A (Last 10)78.7 / 87.180.3 / 83.7
Points F|A (Last 5)75.4 / 83.676.4 / 78.6
Est. result8281
Est. total163.5
Line O/U171.5
Diff.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Siauliai 402 Lietkabelis

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
22/05/26
Lithuania LKL
Lietkabelis93-77Siauliai
20/05/26
Lithuania LKL
Siauliai84-85Lietkabelis
16/05/26
Lithuania LKL
Siauliai67-64Lietkabelis
18/02/26
Lithuania LKL
Lietkabelis75-77Siauliai
06/12/25
Lithuania LKL
Lietkabelis80-86Siauliai
05/10/25
Lithuania LKL
Siauliai87-80Lietkabelis

Standings · Lithuania LKL

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Zalgiris 220 1911460
2 Taurages Taurage 110 95900
3 Lietkabelis 110 84820
4 Gargzdu Gargzdai SC 211 1671770
5 Juventus 101 82840
6 Jonava 101 90950
7 Siauliai 101 79900
8 Neptunas 101 69930
9 Nevezis 000 000
9 Rytas Vilnius 000 000

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSiauliaiLietkabelis
Juventus 82-87 L 84-82 W
Zalgiris 78-91 L 93-103 L
Neptunas 83-98 L 82-91 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Lietkabelis (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siauliai

LLLWLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
20/09 Gargzdu Gargzdai SC
Lithuania LKL
79-90 L
22/05 Lietkabelis
Lithuania LKL
77-93 L
20/05 Lietkabelis
Lithuania LKL
84-85 L
16/05 Lietkabelis
Lithuania LKL
67-64 W
09/05 Jonava
Lithuania LKL
70-86 L
06/05 Juventus
Lithuania LKL
82-87 L
03/05 Nevezis
Lithuania LKL
95-75 W
27/04 Rytas Vilnius
Lithuania LKL
72-102 L
25/04 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
78-91 L
19/04 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
83-98 L

Lietkabelis

WWLLLLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent FT Res.
19/09 Juventus
Lithuania LKL
84-82 W
13/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
82-91 L
11/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
63-66 L
08/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
80-68 W
06/06 Neptunas
Lithuania LKL
73-86 L
31/05 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
93-103 L
28/05 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
75-95 L
26/05 Zalgiris
Lithuania LKL
75-85 L
22/05 Siauliai
Lithuania LKL
93-77 W
20/05 Siauliai
Lithuania LKL
85-84 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siauliai vs Lietkabelis?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Siauliai 52% · Lietkabelis 48%).

How many points are expected in Siauliai vs Lietkabelis?

The model estimates 163.5 total points (Siauliai 82.1 · Lietkabelis 81.4).