Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 23/09, 17:30

Prediction: Neptunas vs Juventus

Team pages: Neptunas · Juventus

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.7Total

Neptunas90.8

Juventus85

1X2

66% 34%

Neptunas Juventus

Recent form · 10 last

Neptunas 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLWWL

Juventus 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Neptunas 2–4 Juventus (6 last)

Juventus103-90Neptunas
Neptunas102-84Juventus
Juventus86-83Neptunas
Neptunas83-96Juventus
Juventus102-91Neptunas
Neptunas95-89Juventus

Model analysis

Estimated points175.7Neptunas 90.8 · Juventus 85

Match keys

Neptunas is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Juventus: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Neptunas	Juventus
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.2 / 83.4	86.5 / 92.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	76 / 78.2	81.2 / 95.2
Est. result	91	85

Est. total175.7

Line O/U172.5

Diff.3.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.87

Under 172.51.87

Diff.: 0.3 · Est. total: 172.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.36 → 1.47▲	Pinn 1.47
2	2.90 → 2.52▼	Pinn 2.52

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
17:52 +54’	1.36	2.90
19:08 +38’	1.47▲	2.52▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Neptunas 2–0–4 Juventus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/06/26 Lithuania LKL	Juventus	103-90	Neptunas
01/06/26 Lithuania LKL	Neptunas	102-84	Juventus
29/05/26 Lithuania LKL	Juventus	86-83	Neptunas
27/05/26 Lithuania LKL	Neptunas	83-96	Juventus
02/05/26 Lithuania LKL	Juventus	102-91	Neptunas
06/04/26 Lithuania LKL	Neptunas	95-89	Juventus

Standings · Lithuania LKL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Zalgiris	2	2	0	191	146
2	Taurages Taurage	1	1	0	95	90
3	Lietkabelis	1	1	0	84	82
4	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC	2	1	1	167	177
5	Juventus	1	0	1	82	84
6	Jonava	1	0	1	90	95
7	Siauliai	1	0	1	79	90
8	Neptunas	1	0	1	69	93
9	Nevezis	0	0	0	0	0
9	Rytas Vilnius	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Neptunas	Juventus
Zalgiris	69-93 L	77-95 L
Lietkabelis	91-82 W	82-84 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Neptunas

WLLWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	69-93	L
13/06	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	91-82	W
11/06	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	66-63	W
08/06	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	68-80	L
06/06	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	86-73	W
03/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	90-103	L
01/06	Juventus Lithuania LKL	102-84	W
29/05	Juventus Lithuania LKL	83-86	L
27/05	Juventus Lithuania LKL	83-96	L
23/05	Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL	84-74	W

Juventus

WWWWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL	82-84	L
12/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	77-95	L
09/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	69-100	L
07/06	Zalgiris Lithuania LKL	75-107	L
03/06	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	103-90	W
01/06	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	84-102	L
29/05	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	86-83	W
27/05	Neptunas Lithuania LKL	96-83	W
23/05	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	101-95	W
21/05	Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL	92-84	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Neptunas vs Juventus?

Our model gives 66% to Neptunas.

How many points are expected in Neptunas vs Juventus?

The model estimates 175.7 total points (Neptunas 90.8 · Juventus 85).