Basketball · Lithuania LKL · 27/09, 15:50
Prediction: Zalgiris vs Siauliai
Team pages: Zalgiris · Siauliai
Prediction summary
Estimated points
168.5Total
Zalgiris92.5
Siauliai76
1X2
Zalgiris
Siauliai
Recent form · 10 last
Zalgiris
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Siauliai
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zalgiris
6–0
Siauliai
(6 last)
- Siauliai78-91Zalgiris
- Zalgiris94-65Siauliai
- Siauliai71-75Zalgiris
- Zalgiris93-72Siauliai
- Siauliai66-71Zalgiris
- Zalgiris98-56Siauliai
Model analysis
Estimated points168.5Zalgiris 92.5 · Siauliai 76
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zalgiris (rating 1686 vs 1436).
- Zalgiris is a clear favourite (88% market).
- H2H favours Zalgiris: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Zalgiris | Siauliai | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 96.8 / 76.7 | 79 / 85 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 98.6 / 73.4 | 78.6 / 81.8 |
| Est. result | 93 | 76 |
Est. total168.5
Line O/U171.5
Diff.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zalgiris 6–0–0 Siauliai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Lithuania LKL | Siauliai | 78-91 | Zalgiris |
| 22/03/26 Lithuania LKL | Zalgiris | 94-65 | Siauliai |
| 11/01/26 Lithuania LKL | Siauliai | 71-75 | Zalgiris |
| 24/09/25 Lithuania LKL | Zalgiris | 93-72 | Siauliai |
| 21/05/25 Lithuania LKL | Siauliai | 66-71 | Zalgiris |
| 16/04/25 Lithuania LKL | Zalgiris | 98-56 | Siauliai |
Standings · Lithuania LKL
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris | 2 | 2 | 0 | 191 | 146 | 0 |
| 2 | Jonava | 2 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 160 | 0 |
| 3 | Taurages Taurage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 90 | 0 |
| 4 | Siauliai | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 167 | 0 |
| 5 | Lietkabelis | 2 | 1 | 1 | 161 | 168 | 0 |
| 6 | Neptunas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 168 | 177 | 0 |
| 7 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 177 | 0 |
| 8 | Juventus | 2 | 0 | 2 | 166 | 183 | 0 |
| 9 | Nevezis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 65 | 85 | 0 |
| 10 | Rytas Vilnius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zalgiris | Siauliai |
|---|---|---|
| Gargzdu Gargzdai SC | 98-77 W | 79-90 L |
| Juventus | 95-77 W | 82-87 L |
| Lietkabelis | 103-93 W | 86-77 W |
| Jonava | 90-75 W | 70-86 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Zalgiris (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zalgiris
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Neptunas Lithuania LKL |
93-69 | W |
| 17/09 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
98-77 | W |
| 12/06 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
95-77 | W |
| 09/06 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
100-69 | W |
| 07/06 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
107-75 | W |
| 31/05 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
103-93 | W |
| 28/05 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
95-75 | W |
| 26/05 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
85-75 | W |
| 22/05 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
90-75 | W |
| 20/05 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
102-82 | W |
Siauliai
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
86-77 | W |
| 20/09 | Gargzdu Gargzdai SC Lithuania LKL |
79-90 | L |
| 22/05 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
77-93 | L |
| 20/05 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
84-85 | L |
| 16/05 | Lietkabelis Lithuania LKL |
67-64 | W |
| 09/05 | Jonava Lithuania LKL |
70-86 | L |
| 06/05 | Juventus Lithuania LKL |
82-87 | L |
| 03/05 | Nevezis Lithuania LKL |
95-75 | W |
| 27/04 | Rytas Vilnius Lithuania LKL |
72-102 | L |
| 25/04 | Zalgiris Lithuania LKL |
78-91 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zalgiris vs Siauliai?
Our model gives 88% to Zalgiris.
How many points are expected in Zalgiris vs Siauliai?
The model estimates 168.5 total points (Zalgiris 92.5 · Siauliai 76).