Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 25/10, 18:00
Prediction: Venezia vs Treviso
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.4Total
Venezia90.4
Treviso85
1X2
Venezia
Treviso
Recent form · 10 last
Venezia
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Treviso
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Venezia
3–3
Treviso
(6 last)
- Treviso90-91Venezia
- Venezia87-66Treviso
- Treviso83-72Venezia
- Venezia75-78Treviso
- Venezia79-84Treviso
- Venezia91-78Treviso
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Venezia 1551 · Treviso 1539
| Venezia | Treviso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
175.4 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · -1.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points175.4Venezia 90.4 · Treviso 85
Match keys
- Venezia is a clear favourite (65% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Venezia | Treviso | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 88.1 / 88.9 | 89.2 / 87.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.8 / 86.4 | 91.8 / 90.6 |
| Est. result | 90 | 85 |
Est. total175.4
Line O/U176.5
Diff.1.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Venezia 3–0–3 Treviso
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Italy Lega 1 | Treviso | 90-91 | Venezia |
| 05/01/26 Italy Lega 1 | Venezia | 87-66 | Treviso |
| 04/05/25 Italy Lega 1 | Treviso | 83-72 | Venezia |
| 29/09/24 Italy Lega 1 | Venezia | 75-78 | Treviso |
| 08/09/24 Club Friendlies | Venezia | 79-84 | Treviso |
| 21/04/24 Italy Lega 1 | Venezia | 91-78 | Treviso |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 4 | 4 | 0 | 389 | 327 | 8 |
| 2 | Milano | 4 | 3 | 1 | 359 | 313 | 6 |
| 3 | Verona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 351 | 336 | 6 |
| 4 | Treviso | 4 | 3 | 1 | 381 | 376 | 6 |
| 5 | Venezia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 362 | 346 | 6 |
| 6 | Trento | 4 | 3 | 1 | 334 | 322 | 6 |
| 7 | Napoli | 4 | 3 | 1 | 374 | 346 | 6 |
| 8 | Udine | 4 | 2 | 2 | 324 | 323 | 4 |
| 9 | Maxima Roma | 4 | 2 | 2 | 349 | 362 | 4 |
| 10 | Varese | 4 | 2 | 2 | 324 | 338 | 4 |
| 11 | Roma Basketball | 4 | 1 | 3 | 395 | 379 | 2 |
| 12 | Reggio Emilia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 345 | 362 | 2 |
| 13 | Trieste | 4 | 1 | 3 | 337 | 327 | 2 |
| 14 | Derthona Basket | 4 | 1 | 3 | 332 | 383 | 2 |
| 15 | Cantu | 4 | 0 | 4 | 309 | 361 | 0 |
| 16 | Scafati | 4 | 0 | 4 | 305 | 369 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Venezia | Treviso |
|---|---|---|
| Roma Basketball | 104-98 W | 109-94 W |
| Cantu | 85-73 W | 80-72 W |
| Milano | 72-86 L | 77-106 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Venezia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Venezia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Roma Basketball Italy Lega 1 |
104-98 | W |
| 11/10 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
86-93 | L |
| 04/10 | Trieste Italy Lega 1 |
87-82 | W |
| 26/09 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
85-73 | W |
| 18/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
72-86 | L |
| 16/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
109-97 | W |
| 13/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
79-92 | L |
| 11/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
80-100 | L |
| 06/06 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
90-83 | W |
| 04/06 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
89-85 | W |
Treviso
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
102-86 | W |
| 11/10 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
77-106 | L |
| 03/10 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
93-90 | W |
| 26/09 | Roma Basketball Italy Lega 1 |
109-94 | W |
| 10/05 | Reggio Emilia Italy Lega 1 |
78-77 | W |
| 03/05 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
80-72 | W |
| 26/04 | Leonessa Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
99-90 | W |
| 18/04 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
92-82 | W |
| 12/04 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
71-88 | L |
| 04/04 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
91-86 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Venezia vs Treviso?
Our model gives 65% to Venezia.
How many points are expected in Venezia vs Treviso?
The model estimates 175.4 total points (Venezia 90.4 · Treviso 85).