Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Milano vs Virtus Bologna
Team pages: Milano · Virtus Bologna
Prediction summary
Estimated points
176.1Total
Milano89.8
Virtus Bologna86.3
1X2
Milano
Virtus Bologna
Recent form · 10 last
Milano
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Virtus Bologna
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Milano
4–2
Virtus Bologna
(6 last)
- Milano87-85Virtus Bologna
- Milano80-71Virtus Bologna
- Milano103-87Virtus Bologna
- Virtus Bologna104-94Milano
- Virtus Bologna97-85Milano
- Milano74-63Virtus Bologna
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Milano 1559 · Virtus Bologna 1608
| Milano | Virtus Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
176.1 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +8.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points176.1Milano 89.8 · Virtus Bologna 86.3
Match keys
- H2H favours Milano: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Milano | Virtus Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.8 / 80.7 | 93.4 / 85.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89 / 77 | 94.4 / 83.4 |
| Est. result | 90 | 86 |
Est. total176.1
Line O/U167.5
Diff.8.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Milano 4–0–2 Virtus Bologna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09/26 Euroleague | Milano | 87-85 | Virtus Bologna |
| 19/09/26 Italy Super Cup | Milano | 80-71 | Virtus Bologna |
| 26/03/26 Euroleague | Milano | 103-87 | Virtus Bologna |
| 15/03/26 Italy Lega 1 | Virtus Bologna | 104-94 | Milano |
| 02/01/26 Euroleague | Virtus Bologna | 97-85 | Milano |
| 14/12/25 Italy Lega 1 | Milano | 74-63 | Virtus Bologna |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 4 | 4 | 0 | 389 | 327 | 8 |
| 2 | Milano | 4 | 3 | 1 | 359 | 313 | 6 |
| 3 | Verona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 351 | 336 | 6 |
| 4 | Treviso | 4 | 3 | 1 | 381 | 376 | 6 |
| 5 | Venezia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 362 | 346 | 6 |
| 6 | Trento | 4 | 3 | 1 | 334 | 322 | 6 |
| 7 | Napoli | 4 | 3 | 1 | 374 | 346 | 6 |
| 8 | Udine | 4 | 2 | 2 | 324 | 323 | 4 |
| 9 | Maxima Roma | 4 | 2 | 2 | 349 | 362 | 4 |
| 10 | Varese | 4 | 2 | 2 | 324 | 338 | 4 |
| 11 | Roma Basketball | 4 | 1 | 3 | 395 | 379 | 2 |
| 12 | Reggio Emilia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 345 | 362 | 2 |
| 13 | Trieste | 4 | 1 | 3 | 337 | 327 | 2 |
| 14 | Derthona Basket | 4 | 1 | 3 | 332 | 383 | 2 |
| 15 | Cantu | 4 | 0 | 4 | 309 | 361 | 0 |
| 16 | Scafati | 4 | 0 | 4 | 305 | 369 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Milano
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
98-82 | W |
| 11/10 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
106-77 | W |
| 05/10 | Verona Italy Lega 1 |
72-75 | L |
| 27/09 | Trieste Italy Lega 1 |
83-79 | W |
| 18/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
86-72 | W |
| 16/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
97-109 | L |
| 13/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
92-79 | W |
| 11/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
100-80 | W |
| 05/06 | Leonessa Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
91-86 | W |
| 03/06 | Leonessa Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
93-68 | W |
Virtus Bologna
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Scafati Italy Lega 1 |
108-83 | W |
| 11/10 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
93-86 | W |
| 04/10 | Maxima Roma Italy Lega 1 |
98-89 | W |
| 27/09 | Varese Italy Lega 1 |
90-69 | W |
| 06/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
83-90 | L |
| 04/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
85-89 | L |
| 01/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
98-79 | W |
| 30/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
83-91 | L |
| 26/05 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
106-95 | W |
| 24/05 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
90-81 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Milano vs Virtus Bologna?
Our model gives 60% to Milano.
How many points are expected in Milano vs Virtus Bologna?
The model estimates 176.1 total points (Milano 89.8 · Virtus Bologna 86.3).