Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 01/11, 17:00

Prediction: Udine vs Derthona Basket

Team pages: Udine · Derthona Basket

Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.5Total
Udine83.9
Derthona Basket82.5
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
54% 46%
Udine Derthona Basket

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Udine 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWWLLL
Derthona Basket 3-0-7 (W-D-L)
LLWWLWLLLL
Head-to-head
Udine 3–3 Derthona Basket (6 last)
  • Derthona Basket79-80Udine
  • Udine90-94Derthona Basket
  • Udine68-64Derthona Basket
  • Derthona Basket76-59Udine
  • Derthona Basket78-67Udine
  • Derthona Basket73-74Udine
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Udine 1465 · Derthona Basket 1447
UdineDerthona Basket
Our model65%35%
Market51%49%
Estimated total (ours) 166.5 points · Bet365 line 166.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points166.5Udine 83.9 · Derthona Basket 82.5

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

UdineDerthona Basket
Points F|A (Last 10)78.6 / 84.283.3 / 88.2
Points F|A (Last 5)79.8 / 80.884.4 / 95
Est. result8483
Est. total166.5
Line O/U166.5
Diff.0

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Udine 3–0–3 Derthona Basket

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/01/26
Italy Lega 1
Derthona Basket79-80Udine
15/11/25
Italy Lega 1
Udine90-94Derthona Basket
11/04/21
Italy Serie A2
Udine68-64Derthona Basket
11/03/21
Italy Serie A2
Derthona Basket76-59Udine
27/09/19
Italy LNP Cup
Derthona Basket78-67Udine
07/05/18
Italy Serie A2
Derthona Basket73-74Udine

Standings · Italy Lega 1

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Virtus Bologna 550 48742110
2 Napoli 541 4664368
3 Treviso 541 4784658
4 Verona 532 4504446
5 Trento 532 4154096
6 Venezia 532 4514436
7 Maxima Roma 532 4304376
8 Varese 532 4344416
9 Milano 532 4534116
10 Trieste 523 4454264
11 Reggio Emilia 523 4264224
12 Udine 523 3994044
13 Roma Basketball 514 4984892
14 Scafati 514 3924502
15 Derthona Basket 514 4224752
16 Cantu 505 3694420

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUdineDerthona Basket
Maxima Roma 75-81 L 75-89 L
Napoli 71-98 L 90-92 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Udine

LLWLLWWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
25/10 Maxima Roma
Italy Lega 1
75-81 L
18/10 Treviso
Italy Lega 1
86-102 L
10/10 Trento
Italy Lega 1
66-74 L
05/10 Cantu
Italy Lega 1
85-84 W
27/09 Scafati
Italy Lega 1
87-63 W
10/05 Napoli
Italy Lega 1
71-98 L
03/05 Trento
Italy Lega 1
69-76 L
25/04 Cantu
Italy Lega 1
95-83 W
18/04 Treviso
Italy Lega 1
82-92 L
12/04 Trieste
Italy Lega 1
70-89 L

Derthona Basket

LLWWLWLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
25/10 Napoli
Italy Lega 1
90-92 L
18/10 Maxima Roma
Italy Lega 1
75-89 L
11/10 Reggio Emilia
Italy Lega 1
86-93 L
04/10 Roma Basketball
Italy Lega 1
70-108 L
27/09 Verona
Italy Lega 1
101-93 W
26/05 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
83-89 L
24/05 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
89-71 W
22/05 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
82-71 W
19/05 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
75-87 L
17/05 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
82-89 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Udine vs Derthona Basket?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Udine 54% · Derthona Basket 46%).

How many points are expected in Udine vs Derthona Basket?

The model estimates 166.5 total points (Udine 83.9 · Derthona Basket 82.5).