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Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 02/11, 20:30

Prediction: Cantu vs Milano

Team pages: Cantu · Milano

Prediction summary
Estimated points
171.8Total
Cantu81.6
Milano90.2
1X2
27% 73%
Cantu Milano
Recent form · 10 last
Cantu 2-0-8 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLLLLL
Milano 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLWWL
Head-to-head
Cantu 0–6 Milano (6 last)
  • Milano88-86Cantu
  • Cantu89-94Milano
  • Milano70-57Cantu
  • Cantu71-89Milano
  • Cantu62-102Milano
  • Milano101-71Cantu
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cantu 1377 · Milano 1528
CantuMilano
Our model41%59%
Market24%76%
Estimated total (ours) 171.8 points · Bet365 line 164.5 · +7.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points171.8Cantu 81.6 · Milano 90.2

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Milano (rating 1377 vs 1528).
  • Milano is a clear favourite (73% market).
  • H2H favours Milano: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

CantuMilano
Points F|A (Last 10)78.3 / 8891.9 / 83.7
Points F|A (Last 5)73.8 / 88.490.6 / 82.2
Est. result8290
Est. total171.8
Line O/U164.5
Diff.7.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cantu 0–0–6 Milano

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/03/26
Italy Lega 1
Milano88-86Cantu
20/12/25
Italy Lega 1
Cantu89-94Milano
21/03/21
Italy Lega 1
Milano70-57Cantu
15/11/20
Italy Lega 1
Cantu71-89Milano
01/09/20
Italy Super Cup
Cantu62-102Milano
27/08/20
Italy Super Cup
Milano101-71Cantu

Standings · Italy Lega 1

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Virtus Bologna 550 48742110
2 Napoli 541 4664368
3 Treviso 541 4784658
4 Verona 532 4504446
5 Trento 532 4154096
6 Venezia 532 4514436
7 Maxima Roma 532 4304376
8 Varese 532 4344416
9 Milano 532 4534116
10 Trieste 523 4454264
11 Reggio Emilia 523 4264224
12 Udine 523 3994044
13 Roma Basketball 514 4984892
14 Scafati 514 3924502
15 Derthona Basket 514 4224752
16 Cantu 505 3694420

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCantuMilano
Trieste 72-92 L 83-79 W
Napoli 80-99 L 98-82 W
Venezia 73-85 L 86-72 W
Treviso 72-80 L 106-77 W
Virtus Bologna 79-89 L 94-98 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 5 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Milano (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cantu

WLWLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
25/10 Reggio Emilia
Italy Lega 1
 60-81 L
18/10 Trieste
Italy Lega 1
 72-92 L
11/10 Napoli
Italy Lega 1
 80-99 L
05/10 Udine
Italy Lega 1
 84-85 L
26/09 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
 73-85 L
03/05 Treviso
Italy Lega 1
 72-80 L
25/04 Udine
Italy Lega 1
 83-95 L
19/04 Varese
Italy Lega 1
 100-96 W
13/04 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
 79-89 L
04/04 Dinamo Sassari
Italy Lega 1
 80-78 W

Milano

WWWLWWLWWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
25/10 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
 94-98 L
18/10 Napoli
Italy Lega 1
 98-82 W
11/10 Treviso
Italy Lega 1
 106-77 W
05/10 Verona
Italy Lega 1
 72-75 L
27/09 Trieste
Italy Lega 1
 83-79 W
18/06 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
 86-72 W
16/06 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
 97-109 L
13/06 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
 92-79 W
11/06 Venezia
Italy Lega 1
 100-80 W
05/06 Leonessa Brescia
Italy Lega 1
 91-86 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cantu vs Milano?

Our model gives 73% to Milano.

How many points are expected in Cantu vs Milano?

The model estimates 171.8 total points (Cantu 81.6 · Milano 90.2).