Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 26/09, 20:00
Prediction: Venezia vs Cantu
Prediction summary
Estimated points
175.1Total
Venezia93.5
Cantu81.7
1X2
Venezia
Cantu
Recent form · 10 last
Venezia
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Cantu
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Venezia
5–1
Cantu
(6 last)
- Cantu66-93Venezia
- Cantu81-86Venezia
- Venezia101-95Cantu
- Venezia80-75Cantu
- Cantu67-75Venezia
- Cantu81-77Venezia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Venezia 1521 · Cantu 1434
| Venezia | Cantu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 27% |
| Market | 82% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
175.1 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · +2.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points175.1Venezia 93.5 · Cantu 81.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Venezia (rating 1521 vs 1434).
- Venezia is a clear favourite (80% market).
- H2H favours Venezia: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Venezia | Cantu | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.9 / 89.6 | 87.2 / 87 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86 / 91.6 | 82.8 / 87.6 |
| Est. result | 94 | 82 |
Est. total175.1
Line O/U172.5
Diff.2.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Venezia 5–0–1 Cantu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/26 Club Friendlies | Cantu | 66-93 | Venezia |
| 31/01/26 Italy Lega 1 | Cantu | 81-86 | Venezia |
| 07/12/25 Italy Lega 1 | Venezia | 101-95 | Cantu |
| 07/02/21 Italy Lega 1 | Venezia | 80-75 | Cantu |
| 18/10/20 Italy Lega 1 | Cantu | 67-75 | Venezia |
| 02/02/20 Italy Lega 1 | Cantu | 81-77 | Venezia |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Udine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Scafati | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | BC Roma SPQR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Derthona Basket | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maxima Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cantu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reggio Emilia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trieste | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Varese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Treviso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Venezia | Cantu |
|---|---|---|
| Milano | 72-86 L | 86-88 L |
| Virtus Bologna | 90-83 W | 79-89 L |
| Derthona Basket | 89-83 W | 73-100 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Venezia (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Venezia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
72-86 | L |
| 16/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
109-97 | W |
| 13/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
79-92 | L |
| 11/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
80-100 | L |
| 06/06 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
90-83 | W |
| 04/06 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
89-85 | W |
| 01/06 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
79-98 | L |
| 30/05 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
91-83 | W |
| 26/05 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
89-83 | W |
| 24/05 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
71-89 | L |
Cantu
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
72-80 | L |
| 25/04 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
83-95 | L |
| 19/04 | Varese Italy Lega 1 |
100-96 | W |
| 13/04 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
79-89 | L |
| 04/04 | Dinamo Sassari Italy Lega 1 |
80-78 | W |
| 29/03 | Trieste Italy Lega 1 |
97-76 | W |
| 22/03 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
73-100 | L |
| 15/03 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
94-77 | W |
| 09/03 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
86-88 | L |
| 15/02 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
108-91 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Venezia vs Cantu?
Our model gives 80% to Venezia.
How many points are expected in Venezia vs Cantu?
The model estimates 175.1 total points (Venezia 93.5 · Cantu 81.7).