Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 03/10, 20:00

Prediction: Trento vs Treviso

Team pages: Trento

Prediction summary
Estimated points
172Total
Trento87.1
Treviso85
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
56% 44%
Trento Treviso

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Trento 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWLWWLLW
Treviso 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWLWWWWW
Head-to-head
Trento 5–1 Treviso (6 last)
  • Treviso67-88Trento
  • Trento81-68Treviso
  • Trento98-86Treviso
  • Trento101-86Treviso
  • Treviso76-83Trento
  • Trento81-85Treviso
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trento 1574 · Treviso 1533
TrentoTreviso
Our model68%32%
Market53%47%
Estimated total (ours) 172 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points172Trento 87.1 · Treviso 85

Match keys

  • H2H favours Trento: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

TrentoTreviso
Points F|A (Last 10)83.5 / 86.291.1 / 87.7
Points F|A (Last 5)89.6 / 88.691.6 / 83
Est. result8785
Est. total172
Line O/U170.5
Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trento 5–0–1 Treviso

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
Italy Lega 1
Treviso67-88Trento
22/11/25
Italy Lega 1
Trento81-68Treviso
13/09/25
Club Friendlies
Trento98-86Treviso
18/01/25
Italy Lega 1
Trento101-86Treviso
20/10/24
Italy Lega 1
Treviso76-83Trento
14/09/24
Club Friendlies
Trento81-85Treviso

Standings · Italy Lega 1

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Udine 110 87632
2 Virtus Bologna 110 90692
3 Napoli 110 94752
4 Treviso 110 109942
5 Venezia 110 85732
6 Derthona Basket 110 101932
7 Trento 110 83782
8 Milano 110 83792
9 Trieste 101 79830
10 Reggio Emilia 101 78830
11 Verona 101 931010
12 Cantu 101 73850
13 Roma Basketball 101 941090
14 Maxima Roma 101 75940
15 Varese 101 69900
16 Scafati 101 63870

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTrentoTreviso
Reggio Emilia 83-78 W 78-77 W
Udine 76-69 W 92-82 W
Napoli 74-84 L 71-88 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Trento (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trento

LLWWLWWLLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
26/09 Reggio Emilia
Italy Lega 1
83-78 W
26/05 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
95-106 L
24/05 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
81-90 L
22/05 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
102-85 W
19/05 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
87-84 W
17/05 Virtus Bologna
Italy Lega 1
71-102 L
10/05 Milano
Italy Lega 1
84-74 W
03/05 Udine
Italy Lega 1
76-69 W
25/04 Napoli
Italy Lega 1
74-84 L
18/04 Reggio Emilia
Italy Lega 1
82-90 L

Treviso

LWWWLWWWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
26/09 Roma Basketball
Italy Lega 1
109-94 W
10/05 Reggio Emilia
Italy Lega 1
78-77 W
03/05 Cantu
Italy Lega 1
80-72 W
26/04 Brescia
Italy Lega 1
99-90 W
18/04 Udine
Italy Lega 1
92-82 W
12/04 Napoli
Italy Lega 1
71-88 L
04/04 Derthona Basket
Italy Lega 1
91-86 W
29/03 Dinamo Sassari
Italy Lega 1
108-103 W
22/03 Vanoli Cremona
Italy Lega 1
97-94 W
15/03 Varese
Italy Lega 1
86-91 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trento vs Treviso?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Trento 56% · Treviso 44%).

How many points are expected in Trento vs Treviso?

The model estimates 172 total points (Trento 87.1 · Treviso 85).