Prediction: Trieste vs Venezia
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Trieste78-84Venezia
- Venezia102-66Trieste
- Venezia103-71Trieste
- Trieste70-76Venezia
- Venezia72-81Trieste
- Trieste78-95Venezia
| Trieste | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Venezia: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Trieste | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 82.1 / 87.5 | 86.3 / 88 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.8 / 84.8 | 85 / 89.6 |
| Est. result | 85 | 87 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trieste 1–0–5 Venezia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Italy Lega 1 | Trieste | 78-84 | Venezia |
| 18/10/25 Italy Lega 1 | Venezia | 102-66 | Trieste |
| 13/04/25 Italy Lega 1 | Venezia | 103-71 | Trieste |
| 29/12/24 Italy Lega 1 | Trieste | 70-76 | Venezia |
| 22/01/23 Italy Lega 1 | Venezia | 72-81 | Trieste |
| 15/10/22 Italy Lega 1 | Trieste | 78-95 | Venezia |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Udine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 63 | 2 |
| 2 | Virtus Bologna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 69 | 2 |
| 3 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 94 | 75 | 2 |
| 4 | Treviso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 109 | 94 | 2 |
| 5 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 85 | 73 | 2 |
| 6 | Derthona Basket | 1 | 1 | 0 | 101 | 93 | 2 |
| 7 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 83 | 78 | 2 |
| 8 | Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 83 | 79 | 2 |
| 9 | Trieste | 1 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 83 | 0 |
| 10 | Reggio Emilia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 83 | 0 |
| 11 | Verona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 93 | 101 | 0 |
| 12 | Cantu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 85 | 0 |
| 13 | Roma Basketball | 1 | 0 | 1 | 94 | 109 | 0 |
| 14 | Maxima Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 75 | 94 | 0 |
| 15 | Varese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 90 | 0 |
| 16 | Scafati | 1 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 87 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Trieste | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Milano | 79-83 L | 72-86 L |
| Virtus Bologna | 81-95 L | 90-83 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trieste
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
79-83 | L |
| 25/05 | Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
75-90 | L |
| 23/05 | Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
83-77 | W |
| 21/05 | Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
80-84 | L |
| 18/05 | Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
82-90 | L |
| 16/05 | Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
92-90 | W |
| 10/05 | Vanoli Cremona Italy Lega 1 |
89-94 | L |
| 03/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
78-86 | L |
| 26/04 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
81-95 | L |
| 19/04 | Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
82-86 | L |
Venezia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
85-73 | W |
| 18/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
72-86 | L |
| 16/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
109-97 | W |
| 13/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
79-92 | L |
| 11/06 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
80-100 | L |
| 06/06 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
90-83 | W |
| 04/06 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
89-85 | W |
| 01/06 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
79-98 | L |
| 30/05 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
91-83 | W |
| 26/05 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
89-83 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trieste vs Venezia?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Trieste 43% · Venezia 57%).
How many points are expected in Trieste vs Venezia?
The model estimates 172.3 total points (Trieste 84.9 · Venezia 87.4).