Basketball · Italy Lega 1 · 03/10, 20:30
Prediction: Napoli vs Reggio Emilia
Team pages: Reggio Emilia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
168.2Total
Napoli88.2
Reggio Emilia80
1X2
Napoli
Reggio Emilia
Recent form · 10 last
Napoli
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Reggio Emilia
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Napoli
2–4
Reggio Emilia
(6 last)
- Reggio Emilia91-80Napoli
- Napoli95-87Reggio Emilia
- Reggio Emilia89-86Napoli
- Napoli76-84Reggio Emilia
- Reggio Emilia88-74Napoli
- Reggio Emilia78-87Napoli
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Napoli 1527 · Reggio Emilia 1493
| Napoli | Reggio Emilia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
168.2 points · Bet365 line 167.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points168.2Napoli 88.2 · Reggio Emilia 80
Match keys
- Napoli is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Reggio Emilia: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Napoli | Reggio Emilia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 88.8 / 86.4 | 81.7 / 80.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90.6 / 87.2 | 75.2 / 83.6 |
| Est. result | 88 | 80 |
Est. total168.2
Line O/U167.5
Diff.0.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Napoli 2–0–4 Reggio Emilia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Italy Lega 1 | Reggio Emilia | 91-80 | Napoli |
| 26/10/25 Italy Lega 1 | Napoli | 95-87 | Reggio Emilia |
| 19/04/25 Italy Lega 1 | Reggio Emilia | 89-86 | Napoli |
| 08/12/24 Italy Lega 1 | Napoli | 76-84 | Reggio Emilia |
| 28/04/24 Italy Lega 1 | Reggio Emilia | 88-74 | Napoli |
| 17/02/24 Coppa Italia | Reggio Emilia | 78-87 | Napoli |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Udine | 1 | 1 | 0 | 87 | 63 | 2 |
| 2 | Virtus Bologna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 69 | 2 |
| 3 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 94 | 75 | 2 |
| 4 | Treviso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 109 | 94 | 2 |
| 5 | Venezia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 85 | 73 | 2 |
| 6 | Derthona Basket | 1 | 1 | 0 | 101 | 93 | 2 |
| 7 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 83 | 78 | 2 |
| 8 | Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 83 | 79 | 2 |
| 9 | Trieste | 1 | 0 | 1 | 79 | 83 | 0 |
| 10 | Reggio Emilia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 78 | 83 | 0 |
| 11 | Verona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 93 | 101 | 0 |
| 12 | Cantu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 85 | 0 |
| 13 | Roma Basketball | 1 | 0 | 1 | 94 | 109 | 0 |
| 14 | Maxima Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 75 | 94 | 0 |
| 15 | Varese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 90 | 0 |
| 16 | Scafati | 1 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 87 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Napoli | Reggio Emilia |
|---|---|---|
| Trento | 84-74 W | 78-83 L |
| Milano | 97-125 L | 72-84 L |
| Treviso | 88-71 W | 77-78 L |
| Vanoli Cremona | 81-88 L | 96-78 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Napoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Maxima Roma Italy Lega 1 |
94-75 | W |
| 10/05 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
98-71 | W |
| 03/05 | Reggio Emilia Italy Lega 1 |
80-91 | L |
| 25/04 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
84-74 | W |
| 19/04 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
97-125 | L |
| 12/04 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
88-71 | W |
| 04/04 | Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
85-100 | L |
| 29/03 | Vanoli Cremona Italy Lega 1 |
81-88 | L |
| 22/03 | Varese Italy Lega 1 |
104-75 | W |
| 15/03 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
77-94 | L |
Reggio Emilia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
78-83 | L |
| 21/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
72-84 | L |
| 18/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
65-77 | L |
| 16/05 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
84-96 | L |
| 10/05 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
77-78 | L |
| 03/05 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
91-80 | W |
| 26/04 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
88-69 | W |
| 18/04 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
90-82 | W |
| 11/04 | Vanoli Cremona Italy Lega 1 |
96-78 | W |
| 05/04 | Milano Italy Lega 1 |
76-80 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Napoli vs Reggio Emilia?
Our model gives 72% to Napoli.
How many points are expected in Napoli vs Reggio Emilia?
The model estimates 168.2 total points (Napoli 88.2 · Reggio Emilia 80).