Prediction: Varese vs Virtus Bologna
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Virtus Bologna104-85Varese
- Varese77-83Virtus Bologna
- Virtus Bologna104-67Varese
- Varese104-95Virtus Bologna
- Varese69-81Virtus Bologna
- Virtus Bologna115-84Varese
| Varese | Virtus Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Virtus Bologna: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Varese | Virtus Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 89.8 / 91.3 | 92 / 87 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89 / 91.8 | 91 / 88.8 |
| Est. result | 89 | 90 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varese 1–0–5 Virtus Bologna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Italy Lega 1 | Virtus Bologna | 104-85 | Varese |
| 04/11/25 Italy Lega 1 | Varese | 77-83 | Virtus Bologna |
| 27/04/25 Italy Lega 1 | Virtus Bologna | 104-67 | Varese |
| 10/11/24 Italy Lega 1 | Varese | 104-95 | Virtus Bologna |
| 21/01/24 Italy Lega 1 | Varese | 69-81 | Virtus Bologna |
| 08/10/23 Italy Lega 1 | Virtus Bologna | 115-84 | Varese |
Standings · Italy Lega 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Udine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Scafati | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | BC Roma SPQR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Derthona Basket | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maxima Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Milano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cantu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reggio Emilia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trieste | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Varese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Venezia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Treviso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Virtus Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varese
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Virtus Bologna Italy Lega 1 |
85-104 | L |
| 26/04 | Vanoli Cremona Italy Lega 1 |
84-75 | W |
| 19/04 | Cantu Italy Lega 1 |
96-100 | L |
| 12/04 | Dinamo Sassari Italy Lega 1 |
91-90 | W |
| 04/04 | Trieste Italy Lega 1 |
89-90 | L |
| 28/03 | Derthona Basket Italy Lega 1 |
97-87 | W |
| 22/03 | Napoli Italy Lega 1 |
75-104 | L |
| 15/03 | Treviso Italy Lega 1 |
91-86 | W |
| 08/03 | Udine Italy Lega 1 |
92-81 | W |
| 14/02 | Brescia Italy Lega 1 |
98-96 | W |
Virtus Bologna
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
83-90 | L |
| 04/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
85-89 | L |
| 01/06 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
98-79 | W |
| 30/05 | Venezia Italy Lega 1 |
83-91 | L |
| 26/05 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
106-95 | W |
| 24/05 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
90-81 | W |
| 22/05 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
85-102 | L |
| 19/05 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
84-87 | L |
| 17/05 | Trento Italy Lega 1 |
102-71 | W |
| 10/05 | Varese Italy Lega 1 |
104-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varese vs Virtus Bologna?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Varese 47% · Virtus Bologna 53%).
How many points are expected in Varese vs Virtus Bologna?
The model estimates 179.1 total points (Varese 89 · Virtus Bologna 90.1).
Over or under 168.5 points?
Recent history points to over 168.5 points (80%).