Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 10/10, 07:05
Prediction: Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Shiga Lakes
Team pages: Hiroshima Dragonflies · Shiga Lakes
Prediction summary
Estimated points
170.2Total
Hiroshima Dragonflies91
Shiga Lakes79.2
1X2
Hiroshima Dragonflies
Shiga Lakes
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroshima Dragonflies
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Shiga Lakes
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hiroshima Dragonflies
5–1
Shiga Lakes
(6 last)
- Shiga Lakes69-81Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Shiga Lakes89-104Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Shiga Lakes81-94Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Hiroshima Dragonflies105-90Shiga Lakes
- Shiga Lakes95-80Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Shiga Lakes97-101Hiroshima Dragonflies
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroshima Dragonflies 1582 · Shiga Lakes 1450
| Hiroshima Dragonflies | Shiga Lakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 22% |
| Market | 80% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
170.2 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · -3.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points170.2Hiroshima Dragonflies 91 · Shiga Lakes 79.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiroshima Dragonflies (rating 1582 vs 1450).
- Hiroshima Dragonflies is a clear favourite (80% market).
- H2H favours Hiroshima Dragonflies: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hiroshima Dragonflies | Shiga Lakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.1 / 81.6 | 81.8 / 85.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91.6 / 75.8 | 89 / 86 |
| Est. result | 91 | 79 |
Est. total170.2
Line O/U173.5
Diff.3.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hiroshima Dragonflies 5–0–1 Shiga Lakes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 69-81 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 15/02/26 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 89-104 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 14/02/26 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 81-94 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 24/12/25 Japan B League Premier | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 105-90 | Shiga Lakes |
| 27/04/25 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 95-80 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 26/04/25 Japan B League Premier | Shiga Lakes | 97-101 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 5 | 5 | 0 | 458 | 379 | 0 |
| 2 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 4 | 4 | 0 | 358 | 294 | 0 |
| 3 | San En Neo Phoenix | 4 | 4 | 0 | 361 | 307 | 0 |
| 4 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 5 | 4 | 1 | 427 | 393 | 0 |
| 5 | Mikawa Seahorses | 4 | 3 | 1 | 352 | 297 | 0 |
| 6 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 5 | 3 | 2 | 422 | 400 | 0 |
| 7 | Shiga Lakes | 5 | 2 | 3 | 445 | 430 | 0 |
| 8 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 5 | 2 | 3 | 389 | 419 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 5 | 2 | 3 | 422 | 423 | 0 |
| 10 | Kobe Storks | 5 | 2 | 3 | 392 | 422 | 0 |
| 11 | Nagasaki Velca | 5 | 1 | 4 | 357 | 419 | 0 |
| 12 | Osaka Evessa | 5 | 1 | 4 | 328 | 396 | 0 |
| 13 | Saga Ballooners | 5 | 0 | 5 | 372 | 469 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroshima Dragonflies
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
90-86 | W |
| 04/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
83-72 | W |
| 02/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
96-73 | W |
| 27/09 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1 |
89-61 | W |
| 25/09 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League 1 |
100-87 | W |
| 03/05 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
91-101 | L |
| 02/05 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
89-96 | L |
| 26/04 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
74-88 | L |
| 25/04 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
68-83 | L |
| 22/04 | Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier |
81-69 | W |
Shiga Lakes
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
85-92 | L |
| 04/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
98-72 | W |
| 03/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
87-94 | L |
| 27/09 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
81-77 | W |
| 25/09 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League 1 |
94-95 | L |
| 03/05 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
65-73 | L |
| 02/05 | Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier |
88-81 | W |
| 26/04 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
77-87 | L |
| 25/04 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
74-101 | L |
| 22/04 | Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier |
69-81 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Shiga Lakes?
Our model gives 80% to Hiroshima Dragonflies.
How many points are expected in Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Shiga Lakes?
The model estimates 170.2 total points (Hiroshima Dragonflies 91 · Shiga Lakes 79.2).