Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 19/10, 12:05

Prediction: Utsunomiya Brex vs Gunma Crane Thunders

Team pages: Utsunomiya Brex · Gunma Crane Thunders

Prediction summary

Estimated points

152.8Total

Utsunomiya Brex75.4

Gunma Crane Thunders77.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

44% 56%

Utsunomiya Brex Gunma Crane Thunders

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Utsunomiya Brex 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Gunma Crane Thunders 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Utsunomiya Brex 2–4 Gunma Crane Thunders (6 last)

Gunma Crane Thunders74-66Utsunomiya Brex
Gunma Crane Thunders82-86Utsunomiya Brex
Utsunomiya Brex70-81Gunma Crane Thunders
Utsunomiya Brex71-67Gunma Crane Thunders
Utsunomiya Brex81-84Gunma Crane Thunders
Utsunomiya Brex61-77Gunma Crane Thunders

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Utsunomiya Brex 1447 · Gunma Crane Thunders 1559

	Utsunomiya Brex	Gunma Crane Thunders
Our model	47%	53%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 152.8 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · -3.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points152.8Utsunomiya Brex 75.4 · Gunma Crane Thunders 77.5

Match keys

H2H favours Gunma Crane Thunders: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Utsunomiya Brex	Gunma Crane Thunders
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.5 / 80.8	76.5 / 73.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.6 / 80	75.8 / 74.6
Est. result	75	78

Est. total152.8

Line O/U156.5

Diff.3.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.83

2 (-2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 156.51.83

Under 156.51.83

Diff.: 1.9 · Est. total: 154.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
15:57 +4’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Utsunomiya Brex 2–0–4 Gunma Crane Thunders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Gunma Crane Thunders	74-66	Utsunomiya Brex
18/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Gunma Crane Thunders	82-86	Utsunomiya Brex
01/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	70-81	Gunma Crane Thunders
31/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	71-67	Gunma Crane Thunders
27/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	81-84	Gunma Crane Thunders
26/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	61-77	Gunma Crane Thunders

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tokyo Alvark	8	7	1	779	680
2	Gunma Crane Thunders	8	6	2	618	577
3	Sendai 89ers	8	5	3	689	651
4	Yokohama B-Corsairs	8	5	3	655	648
5	Tokyo Sun Rockers	8	5	3	708	629
6	Levanga Hokkaido	7	4	3	686	663
7	Toyama Grouses	7	4	3	601	595
8	Akita Northern Happinets	7	3	4	534	583
9	Utsunomiya Brex	7	3	4	567	552
10	Chiba Jets	8	3	5	776	804
11	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	7	2	5	556	613
12	Altiri Chiba	8	2	6	622	693
13	Ibaraki Robots	8	1	7	630	673

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Utsunomiya Brex	Gunma Crane Thunders
Ibaraki Robots	90-79 W	86-77 W
Ryukyu Golden Kings	70-92 L	76-65 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Utsunomiya Brex

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	81-85	L
11/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	71-82	L
09/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-79	W
04/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	99-77	W
03/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	67-77	L
27/09	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	71-74	L
26/09	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League 1	88-78	W
10/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	66-75	L
09/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	82-89	L
03/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	70-92	L

Gunma Crane Thunders

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	86-100	L
12/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	72-61	W
10/10	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	59-70	L
08/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	76-65	W
04/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	86-77	W
03/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	72-71	W
26/09	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	91-59	W
24/09	Altiri Chiba Japan B League 1	76-74	W
11/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	68-72	L
10/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	79-85	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Utsunomiya Brex vs Gunma Crane Thunders?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Utsunomiya Brex 44% · Gunma Crane Thunders 56%).

How many points are expected in Utsunomiya Brex vs Gunma Crane Thunders?

The model estimates 152.8 total points (Utsunomiya Brex 75.4 · Gunma Crane Thunders 77.5).