Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 19/10, 12:05

Prediction: Tokyo Alvark vs Akita Northern Happinets

Team pages: Tokyo Alvark · Akita Northern Happinets

Prediction summary

Estimated points

169.1Total

Tokyo Alvark92.1

Akita Northern Happinets77

1X2

86% 14%

Tokyo Alvark Akita Northern Happinets

Recent form · 10 last

Tokyo Alvark 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Akita Northern Happinets 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tokyo Alvark 6–0 Akita Northern Happinets (6 last)

Tokyo Alvark86-72Akita Northern Happinets
Tokyo Alvark85-68Akita Northern Happinets
Akita Northern Happinets74-98Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark86-75Akita Northern Happinets
Akita Northern Happinets63-72Tokyo Alvark
Akita Northern Happinets70-74Tokyo Alvark

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo Alvark 1625 · Akita Northern Happinets 1434

	Tokyo Alvark	Akita Northern Happinets
Our model	83%	17%
Market	87%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 169.1 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points169.1Tokyo Alvark 92.1 · Akita Northern Happinets 77

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo Alvark (rating 1625 vs 1434).
Tokyo Alvark is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours Tokyo Alvark: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tokyo Alvark	Akita Northern Happinets
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.3 / 86.9	75.3 / 84.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	96.6 / 78.2	80.8 / 85.8
Est. result	92	77

Est. total169.1

Line O/U169.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.08

27.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-13.5)1.83

2 (+13.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 0.3 · Est. total: 169.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.08	Bet365 1.08
2	7.25 → 7.25	Bet365 7.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
15:57 +3’	1.08	7.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Alvark 6–0–0 Akita Northern Happinets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	86-72	Akita Northern Happinets
04/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	85-68	Akita Northern Happinets
28/01/26 Japan B League Premier	Akita Northern Happinets	74-98	Tokyo Alvark
15/10/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	86-75	Akita Northern Happinets
22/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Akita Northern Happinets	63-72	Tokyo Alvark
21/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Akita Northern Happinets	70-74	Tokyo Alvark

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tokyo Alvark	8	7	1	779	680
2	Gunma Crane Thunders	8	6	2	618	577
3	Sendai 89ers	8	5	3	689	651
4	Yokohama B-Corsairs	8	5	3	655	648
5	Tokyo Sun Rockers	8	5	3	708	629
6	Levanga Hokkaido	7	4	3	686	663
7	Toyama Grouses	7	4	3	601	595
8	Akita Northern Happinets	7	3	4	534	583
9	Utsunomiya Brex	7	3	4	567	552
10	Chiba Jets	8	3	5	776	804
11	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	7	2	5	556	613
12	Altiri Chiba	8	2	6	622	693
13	Ibaraki Robots	8	1	7	630	673

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tokyo Alvark	Akita Northern Happinets
Kanagawa Brave Thunders	94-82 W	81-87 L
Saga Ballooners	90-74 W	70-87 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tokyo Alvark (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	100-86	W
12/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	103-78	W
10/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	94-82	W
08/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
04/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	96-71	W
02/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	138-131	W
23/09	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	74-85	L
22/09	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League 1	84-73	W
08/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	56-96	L
07/05	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	78-93	L

Akita Northern Happinets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	102-95	W
11/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	82-71	W
08/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	81-87	L
04/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	76-86	L
03/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	63-90	L
27/09	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	75-73	W
26/09	Sendai 89ers Japan B League 1	55-81	L
03/05	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	70-87	L
02/05	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	72-85	L
26/04	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	77-94	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo Alvark vs Akita Northern Happinets?

Our model gives 86% to Tokyo Alvark.

How many points are expected in Tokyo Alvark vs Akita Northern Happinets?

The model estimates 169.1 total points (Tokyo Alvark 92.1 · Akita Northern Happinets 77).