Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 10/10, 08:05

Prediction: Nagasaki Velca vs Gunma Crane Thunders

Team pages: Nagasaki Velca · Gunma Crane Thunders

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.6Total

Nagasaki Velca78

Gunma Crane Thunders76.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Nagasaki Velca Gunma Crane Thunders

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Nagasaki Velca 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLLLLW

Gunma Crane Thunders 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Nagasaki Velca 3–3 Gunma Crane Thunders (6 last)

Gunma Crane Thunders72-77Nagasaki Velca
Gunma Crane Thunders80-97Nagasaki Velca
Gunma Crane Thunders82-72Nagasaki Velca
Gunma Crane Thunders72-78Nagasaki Velca
Nagasaki Velca78-91Gunma Crane Thunders
Nagasaki Velca67-85Gunma Crane Thunders

Model analysis

Estimated points154.6Nagasaki Velca 78 · Gunma Crane Thunders 76.6

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nagasaki Velca	Gunma Crane Thunders
Points F\|A (Last 10)	74.8 / 78.1	80.5 / 73.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	71.4 / 83.8	80.2 / 69.2
Est. result	78	77

Est. total154.6

Line O/U151.5

Diff.3.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.83

2 (-3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 151.51.83

Under 151.51.83

Diff.: 2.15 · Est. total: 153.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
2	1.54 → 1.54	Bet365 1.54

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
16:06 +18’	2.35	1.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagasaki Velca 3–0–3 Gunma Crane Thunders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Gunma Crane Thunders	72-77	Nagasaki Velca
14/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Gunma Crane Thunders	80-97	Nagasaki Velca
20/10/24 Japan B League Premier	Gunma Crane Thunders	82-72	Nagasaki Velca
19/10/24 Japan B League Premier	Gunma Crane Thunders	72-78	Nagasaki Velca
03/03/24 Japan B League Premier	Nagasaki Velca	78-91	Gunma Crane Thunders
02/03/24 Japan B League Premier	Nagasaki Velca	67-85	Gunma Crane Thunders

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hiroshima Dragonflies	5	5	0	458	379
2	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	4	4	0	358	294
3	San En Neo Phoenix	4	4	0	361	307
4	Kyoto Hannaryz	5	4	1	427	393
5	Mikawa Seahorses	4	3	1	352	297
6	Shimane Susanoo Magic	5	3	2	422	400
7	Shiga Lakes	5	2	3	445	430
8	Ryukyu Golden Kings	5	2	3	389	419
9	Shinshu Brave Warriors	5	2	3	422	423
10	Kobe Storks	5	2	3	392	422
11	Nagasaki Velca	5	1	4	357	419
12	Osaka Evessa	5	1	4	328	396
13	Saga Ballooners	5	0	5	372	469

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nagasaki Velca	Gunma Crane Thunders
Ryukyu Golden Kings	72-64 W	76-65 W
Chiba Jets	102-93 W	68-72 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nagasaki Velca

WWLWWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	74-71	W
04/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	65-90	L
03/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	76-84	L
25/09	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	78-85	L
23/09	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League 1	64-89	L
26/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	72-64	W
24/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	66-60	W
23/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	69-71	L
16/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	102-93	W
15/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	82-74	W

Gunma Crane Thunders

WWWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	76-65	W
04/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	86-77	W
03/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	72-71	W
26/09	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	91-59	W
24/09	Altiri Chiba Japan B League 1	76-74	W
11/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	68-72	L
10/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	79-85	L
09/05	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	87-68	W
03/05	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	87-86	W
02/05	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	83-82	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nagasaki Velca vs Gunma Crane Thunders?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nagasaki Velca 54% · Gunma Crane Thunders 46%).

How many points are expected in Nagasaki Velca vs Gunma Crane Thunders?

The model estimates 154.6 total points (Nagasaki Velca 78 · Gunma Crane Thunders 76.6).