Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 06/11, 11:05
Prediction: Mikawa Seahorses vs Gunma Crane Thunders
Team pages: Mikawa Seahorses · Gunma Crane Thunders
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.1Total
Mikawa Seahorses82.1
Gunma Crane Thunders78.9
1X2
Mikawa Seahorses
Gunma Crane Thunders
Recent form · 10 last
Mikawa Seahorses
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Gunma Crane Thunders
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mikawa Seahorses
3–3
Gunma Crane Thunders
(6 last)
- Mikawa Seahorses98-71Gunma Crane Thunders
- Mikawa Seahorses58-75Gunma Crane Thunders
- Gunma Crane Thunders68-78Mikawa Seahorses
- Gunma Crane Thunders87-77Mikawa Seahorses
- Gunma Crane Thunders81-87Mikawa Seahorses
- Gunma Crane Thunders97-93Mikawa Seahorses
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikawa Seahorses 1599 · Gunma Crane Thunders 1528
| Mikawa Seahorses | Gunma Crane Thunders | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.1 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.1Mikawa Seahorses 82.1 · Gunma Crane Thunders 78.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikawa Seahorses (rating 1599 vs 1528).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Mikawa Seahorses | Gunma Crane Thunders | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 90.5 / 78.2 | 82.4 / 74.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 92.6 / 76 | 89 / 74 |
| Est. result | 82 | 79 |
Est. total161.1
Line O/U160.5
Diff.0.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mikawa Seahorses 3–0–3 Gunma Crane Thunders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 98-71 | Gunma Crane Thunders |
| 04/10/25 Japan B League Premier | Mikawa Seahorses | 58-75 | Gunma Crane Thunders |
| 10/11/24 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 68-78 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 09/11/24 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 87-77 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 28/01/24 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 81-87 | Mikawa Seahorses |
| 27/01/24 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 97-93 | Mikawa Seahorses |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 10 | 10 | 0 | 925 | 736 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1185 | 1035 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 10 | 8 | 2 | 905 | 782 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 9 | 7 | 2 | 786 | 726 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1015 | 922 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 13 | 7 | 6 | 1106 | 1069 | 0 |
| 7 | Nagasaki Velca | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1078 | 1124 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 12 | 5 | 7 | 1026 | 1072 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1165 | 1203 | 0 |
| 10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 12 | 4 | 8 | 974 | 993 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 13 | 3 | 10 | 1026 | 1119 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 13 | 1 | 12 | 992 | 1222 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 13 | 1 | 12 | 882 | 1172 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mikawa Seahorses | Gunma Crane Thunders |
|---|---|---|
| Saga Ballooners | 84-78 W | 72-61 W |
| Tokyo Alvark | 91-82 W | 86-100 L |
| Osaka Evessa | 101-57 W | 102-60 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mikawa Seahorses (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikawa Seahorses
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
84-78 | W |
| 31/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
100-83 | W |
| 24/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
91-82 | W |
| 18/10 | Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier |
99-56 | W |
| 11/10 | Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier |
89-81 | W |
| 09/10 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
90-105 | L |
| 04/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
101-57 | W |
| 03/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
76-57 | W |
| 27/09 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
78-77 | W |
| 26/09 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League 1 |
97-106 | L |
Gunma Crane Thunders
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
102-60 | W |
| 31/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
93-60 | W |
| 26/10 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
85-74 | W |
| 23/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
85-93 | L |
| 19/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
80-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
86-100 | L |
| 12/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
72-61 | W |
| 10/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
59-70 | L |
| 08/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
76-65 | W |
| 04/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
86-77 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikawa Seahorses vs Gunma Crane Thunders?
Our model gives 59% to Mikawa Seahorses.
How many points are expected in Mikawa Seahorses vs Gunma Crane Thunders?
The model estimates 161.1 total points (Mikawa Seahorses 82.1 · Gunma Crane Thunders 78.9).