Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 16/11, 11:05

Prediction: Chiba Jets vs San En Neo Phoenix

Team pages: Chiba Jets · San En Neo Phoenix

Prediction summary

Estimated points

176.1Total

Chiba Jets85.7

San En Neo Phoenix90.4

1X2

37% 63%

Chiba Jets San En Neo Phoenix

Recent form · 10 last

Chiba Jets 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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San En Neo Phoenix 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Chiba Jets 0–6 San En Neo Phoenix (6 last)

San En Neo Phoenix104-94Chiba Jets
San En Neo Phoenix92-81Chiba Jets
San En Neo Phoenix99-84Chiba Jets
San En Neo Phoenix87-79Chiba Jets
Chiba Jets94-96San En Neo Phoenix
Chiba Jets81-90San En Neo Phoenix

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiba Jets 1492 · San En Neo Phoenix 1594

	Chiba Jets	San En Neo Phoenix
Our model	48%	52%
Market	34%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 176.1 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · +2.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points176.1Chiba Jets 85.7 · San En Neo Phoenix 90.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San En Neo Phoenix (rating 1492 vs 1594).
H2H favours San En Neo Phoenix: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Chiba Jets	San En Neo Phoenix
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88.3 / 90.8	87.8 / 82.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	96.4 / 90.2	87.8 / 85
Est. result	86	90

Est. total176.1

Line O/U173.5

Diff.2.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.72

21.41

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.83

2 (-5.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.83

Under 173.51.83

Diff.: 1.05 · Est. total: 174.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.72 → 2.72	Pinn 3.23 ★
2	1.41 → 1.41	Bet365 1.41

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	2
14:49 +8’	2.72	1.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:49 +4’	3.23	1.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chiba Jets 0–0–6 San En Neo Phoenix

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	104-94	Chiba Jets
14/02/26 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	92-81	Chiba Jets
08/12/24 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	99-84	Chiba Jets
07/12/24 Japan B League Premier	San En Neo Phoenix	87-79	Chiba Jets
31/12/23 Japan B League Premier	Chiba Jets	94-96	San En Neo Phoenix
30/12/23 Japan B League Premier	Chiba Jets	81-90	San En Neo Phoenix

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	14	12	2	1277	1102
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	16	13	3	1439	1313
3	Mikawa Seahorses	14	11	3	1286	1119
4	San En Neo Phoenix	12	9	3	1049	979
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	16	9	7	1349	1268
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	16	8	8	1335	1306
7	Shimane Susanoo Magic	16	7	9	1336	1298
8	Shiga Lakes	16	7	9	1383	1421
9	Shinshu Brave Warriors	17	6	11	1426	1475
10	Nagasaki Velca	18	6	12	1391	1479
11	Kobe Storks	16	4	12	1279	1397
12	Saga Ballooners	16	1	15	1237	1530
13	Osaka Evessa	17	1	16	1197	1537

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chiba Jets	San En Neo Phoenix
Saga Ballooners	111-103 W	93-89 W
Altiri Chiba	89-87 W	86-69 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chiba Jets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/11	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	86-80	W
12/11	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	90-87	W
10/11	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	106-94	W
08/11	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	111-103	W
06/11	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	89-87	W
01/11	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	78-83	L
31/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	93-100	L
25/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	87-65	W
21/10	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	79-102	L
19/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	64-107	L

San En Neo Phoenix

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/11	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	86-69	W
11/11	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	110-96	W
08/11	Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier	67-88	L
01/11	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	96-86	W
31/10	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	80-86	L
24/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	91-89	W
19/10	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	75-77	L
10/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	83-81	W
04/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	93-89	W
03/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	97-61	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiba Jets vs San En Neo Phoenix?

Our model gives 63% to San En Neo Phoenix.

How many points are expected in Chiba Jets vs San En Neo Phoenix?

The model estimates 176.1 total points (Chiba Jets 85.7 · San En Neo Phoenix 90.4).