Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 16/11, 11:05
Prediction: Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Altiri Chiba
Team pages: Hiroshima Dragonflies · Altiri Chiba
Prediction summary
Estimated points
168.6Total
Hiroshima Dragonflies89.7
Altiri Chiba78.9
1X2
Hiroshima Dragonflies
Altiri Chiba
Recent form · 10 last
Hiroshima Dragonflies
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Altiri Chiba
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hiroshima Dragonflies
2–1
Altiri Chiba
(3 last)
- Altiri Chiba71-89Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Altiri Chiba91-104Hiroshima Dragonflies
- Altiri Chiba87-81Hiroshima Dragonflies
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hiroshima Dragonflies 1547 · Altiri Chiba 1492
| Hiroshima Dragonflies | Altiri Chiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 80% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
168.6 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +2.1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points168.6Hiroshima Dragonflies 89.7 · Altiri Chiba 78.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hiroshima Dragonflies (rating 1547 vs 1492).
- Hiroshima Dragonflies is a clear favourite (78% market).
- H2H favours Hiroshima Dragonflies: 2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hiroshima Dragonflies | Altiri Chiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 87 / 82.9 | 81.5 / 83.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 84.6 / 87.8 | 83.6 / 80 |
| Est. result | 90 | 79 |
Est. total168.6
Line O/U166.5
Diff.2.1
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hiroshima Dragonflies 2–0–1 Altiri Chiba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10/26 Japan B League Premier | Altiri Chiba | 71-89 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 15/03/26 Japan B League Premier | Altiri Chiba | 91-104 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
| 14/03/26 Japan B League Premier | Altiri Chiba | 87-81 | Hiroshima Dragonflies |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1277 | 1102 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 16 | 13 | 3 | 1439 | 1313 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1286 | 1119 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1049 | 979 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1349 | 1268 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1335 | 1306 | 0 |
| 7 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1336 | 1298 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1383 | 1421 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1426 | 1475 | 0 |
| 10 | Nagasaki Velca | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1391 | 1479 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1279 | 1397 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 16 | 1 | 15 | 1237 | 1530 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 17 | 1 | 16 | 1197 | 1537 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hiroshima Dragonflies | Altiri Chiba |
|---|---|---|
| Nagasaki Velca | 80-73 W | 82-65 W |
| Yokohama B-Corsairs | 90-64 W | 75-66 W |
| Akita Northern Happinets | 98-84 W | 102-83 W |
| San En Neo Phoenix | 77-75 W | 69-86 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hiroshima Dragonflies
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
83-99 | L |
| 11/11 | Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier |
91-106 | L |
| 06/11 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
80-73 | W |
| 01/11 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
74-73 | W |
| 31/10 | Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier |
95-88 | W |
| 26/10 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
90-64 | W |
| 24/10 | Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier |
93-96 | L |
| 21/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
98-84 | W |
| 19/10 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
77-75 | W |
| 17/10 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
89-71 | W |
Altiri Chiba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier |
69-86 | L |
| 12/11 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
75-66 | W |
| 09/11 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
85-76 | W |
| 06/11 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
87-89 | L |
| 01/11 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
102-83 | W |
| 30/10 | Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier |
89-85 | W |
| 26/10 | Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier |
74-85 | L |
| 24/10 | Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier |
87-102 | L |
| 21/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
65-94 | L |
| 19/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
82-65 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Altiri Chiba?
Our model gives 78% to Hiroshima Dragonflies.
How many points are expected in Hiroshima Dragonflies vs Altiri Chiba?
The model estimates 168.6 total points (Hiroshima Dragonflies 89.7 · Altiri Chiba 78.9).