Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 16/11, 11:05

Prediction: Tokyo Alvark vs Kobe Storks

Team pages: Tokyo Alvark · Kobe Storks

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.8Total

Tokyo Alvark93.6

Kobe Storks77.2

1X2

88% 12%

Tokyo Alvark Kobe Storks

Recent form · 10 last

Tokyo Alvark 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Kobe Storks 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Tokyo Alvark 6–0 Kobe Storks (6 last)

Kobe Storks51-79Tokyo Alvark
Kobe Storks72-96Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark91-69Kobe Storks
Kobe Storks59-99Tokyo Alvark
Kobe Storks83-102Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark103-61Kobe Storks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tokyo Alvark 1548 · Kobe Storks 1440

	Tokyo Alvark	Kobe Storks
Our model	76%	24%
Market	91%	9%

Estimated total (ours) 170.8 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points170.8Tokyo Alvark 93.6 · Kobe Storks 77.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tokyo Alvark (rating 1548 vs 1440).
Tokyo Alvark is a clear favourite (88% market).
H2H favours Tokyo Alvark: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tokyo Alvark	Kobe Storks
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89.4 / 80.2	81 / 89.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	88.8 / 78	82.8 / 89.2
Est. result	94	77

Est. total170.8

Line O/U171.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.03

210.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-17.5)1.83

2 (+17.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 171.51.83

Under 171.51.83

Diff.: 1.65 · Est. total: 169.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Pinn 1.06 ★
2	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3% Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
14:51 +6’	1.03	10.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
16:51 +2’	1.06	7.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tokyo Alvark 6–0–0 Kobe Storks

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/03/18 Japan B League Premier	Kobe Storks	51-79	Tokyo Alvark
17/03/18 Japan B League Premier	Kobe Storks	72-96	Tokyo Alvark
30/04/16 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	91-69	Kobe Storks
07/02/16 Japan B League Premier	Kobe Storks	59-99	Tokyo Alvark
06/02/16 Japan B League Premier	Kobe Storks	83-102	Tokyo Alvark
18/10/15 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	103-61	Kobe Storks

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	14	12	2	1277	1102
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	16	13	3	1439	1313
3	Mikawa Seahorses	14	11	3	1286	1119
4	San En Neo Phoenix	12	9	3	1049	979
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	16	9	7	1349	1268
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	16	8	8	1335	1306
7	Shimane Susanoo Magic	16	7	9	1336	1298
8	Shiga Lakes	16	7	9	1383	1421
9	Shinshu Brave Warriors	17	6	11	1426	1475
10	Nagasaki Velca	18	6	12	1391	1479
11	Kobe Storks	16	4	12	1279	1397
12	Saga Ballooners	16	1	15	1237	1530
13	Osaka Evessa	17	1	16	1197	1537

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tokyo Alvark	Kobe Storks
Nagasaki Velca	82-73 W	90-87 W
San En Neo Phoenix	88-67 W	89-91 L
Sendai 89ers	69-96 L	71-80 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Tokyo Alvark (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/11	Hiroshima Dragonflies Japan B League Premier	99-83	W
11/11	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	82-73	W
08/11	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	88-67	W
06/11	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	69-96	L
01/11	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	106-71	W
31/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	100-90	W
26/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	112-88	W
24/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	82-91	L
22/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	66-69	L
19/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	90-74	W

Kobe Storks

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/11	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	79-100	L
10/11	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	87-108	L
07/11	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	87-70	W
01/11	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	90-87	W
31/10	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	71-81	L
26/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	87-97	L
24/10	San En Neo Phoenix Japan B League Premier	89-91	L
21/10	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	80-92	L
19/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	71-80	L
12/10	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	69-85	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tokyo Alvark vs Kobe Storks?

Our model gives 88% to Tokyo Alvark.

How many points are expected in Tokyo Alvark vs Kobe Storks?

The model estimates 170.8 total points (Tokyo Alvark 93.6 · Kobe Storks 77.2).