Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 16/11, 11:05
Prediction: Gunma Crane Thunders vs Shiga Lakes
Team pages: Gunma Crane Thunders · Shiga Lakes
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.9Total
Gunma Crane Thunders89.6
Shiga Lakes77.3
1X2
Gunma Crane Thunders
Shiga Lakes
Recent form · 10 last
Gunma Crane Thunders
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Shiga Lakes
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gunma Crane Thunders
6–0
Shiga Lakes
(6 last)
- Gunma Crane Thunders92-76Shiga Lakes
- Gunma Crane Thunders92-76Shiga Lakes
- Gunma Crane Thunders102-65Shiga Lakes
- Gunma Crane Thunders82-81Shiga Lakes
- Gunma Crane Thunders92-71Shiga Lakes
- Gunma Crane Thunders88-80Shiga Lakes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gunma Crane Thunders 1575 · Shiga Lakes 1479
| Gunma Crane Thunders | Shiga Lakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.9 points · Bet365 line 163.5 · +3.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.9Gunma Crane Thunders 89.6 · Shiga Lakes 77.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gunma Crane Thunders (rating 1575 vs 1479).
- Gunma Crane Thunders is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Gunma Crane Thunders: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Gunma Crane Thunders | Shiga Lakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 86.5 / 76.4 | 83.3 / 88 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91.4 / 70.6 | 84.2 / 87.2 |
| Est. result | 90 | 77 |
Est. total166.9
Line O/U163.5
Diff.3.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gunma Crane Thunders 6–0–0 Shiga Lakes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 92-76 | Shiga Lakes |
| 24/01/26 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 92-76 | Shiga Lakes |
| 03/11/24 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 102-65 | Shiga Lakes |
| 02/11/24 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 82-81 | Shiga Lakes |
| 02/10/22 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 92-71 | Shiga Lakes |
| 01/10/22 Japan B League Premier | Gunma Crane Thunders | 88-80 | Shiga Lakes |
Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1277 | 1102 | 0 |
| 2 | Hiroshima Dragonflies | 16 | 13 | 3 | 1439 | 1313 | 0 |
| 3 | Mikawa Seahorses | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1286 | 1119 | 0 |
| 4 | San En Neo Phoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 1049 | 979 | 0 |
| 5 | Kyoto Hannaryz | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1349 | 1268 | 0 |
| 6 | Ryukyu Golden Kings | 16 | 8 | 8 | 1335 | 1306 | 0 |
| 7 | Shimane Susanoo Magic | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1336 | 1298 | 0 |
| 8 | Shiga Lakes | 16 | 7 | 9 | 1383 | 1421 | 0 |
| 9 | Shinshu Brave Warriors | 17 | 6 | 11 | 1426 | 1475 | 0 |
| 10 | Nagasaki Velca | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1391 | 1479 | 0 |
| 11 | Kobe Storks | 16 | 4 | 12 | 1279 | 1397 | 0 |
| 12 | Saga Ballooners | 16 | 1 | 15 | 1237 | 1530 | 0 |
| 13 | Osaka Evessa | 17 | 1 | 16 | 1197 | 1537 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gunma Crane Thunders | Shiga Lakes |
|---|---|---|
| Shinshu Brave Warriors | 85-74 W | 95-76 W |
| Nagoya Diamond Dolphins | 87-76 W | 64-87 L |
| Mikawa Seahorses | 90-83 W | 91-96 L |
| Ryukyu Golden Kings | 85-93 L | 67-99 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Gunma Crane Thunders (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gunma Crane Thunders
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
85-74 | W |
| 09/11 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
87-76 | W |
| 06/11 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
90-83 | W |
| 01/11 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
102-60 | W |
| 31/10 | Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier |
93-60 | W |
| 26/10 | Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier |
85-74 | W |
| 23/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
85-93 | L |
| 19/10 | Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier |
80-83 | L |
| 17/10 | Tokyo Alvark Japan B League Premier |
86-100 | L |
| 12/10 | Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier |
72-61 | W |
Shiga Lakes
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11 | Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier |
98-88 | W |
| 12/11 | Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier |
87-90 | L |
| 08/11 | Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier |
91-96 | L |
| 06/11 | Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier |
81-75 | W |
| 01/11 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
64-87 | L |
| 30/10 | Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier |
69-104 | L |
| 23/10 | Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier |
89-85 | W |
| 21/10 | Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier |
92-80 | W |
| 19/10 | Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier |
67-99 | L |
| 12/10 | Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier |
95-76 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gunma Crane Thunders vs Shiga Lakes?
Our model gives 81% to Gunma Crane Thunders.
How many points are expected in Gunma Crane Thunders vs Shiga Lakes?
The model estimates 166.9 total points (Gunma Crane Thunders 89.6 · Shiga Lakes 77.3).