Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 15/11, 11:35

Prediction: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Tokyo Sun Rockers

Team pages: Nagoya Diamond Dolphins · Tokyo Sun Rockers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.5Total

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins89

Tokyo Sun Rockers79.5

1X2

75% 25%

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Tokyo Sun Rockers

Recent form · 10 last

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Tokyo Sun Rockers 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 5–1 Tokyo Sun Rockers (6 last)

Tokyo Sun Rockers85-96Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins84-59Tokyo Sun Rockers
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins72-62Tokyo Sun Rockers
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins71-68Tokyo Sun Rockers
Tokyo Sun Rockers85-59Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins77-75Tokyo Sun Rockers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 1627 · Tokyo Sun Rockers 1552

	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	Tokyo Sun Rockers
Our model	72%	28%
Market	75%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 168.5 points · Bet365 line 172.5 · -4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.5Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 89 · Tokyo Sun Rockers 79.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (rating 1627 vs 1552).
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours Nagoya Diamond Dolphins: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	Tokyo Sun Rockers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	93.6 / 78.3	91.6 / 79.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	94 / 78.8	87.4 / 83
Est. result	89	80

Est. total168.5

Line O/U172.5

Diff.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.24

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-8.5)1.83

2 (+8.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 172.51.83

Under 172.51.83

Diff.: 0.8 · Est. total: 171.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.24 → 1.24	Bet365 1.24
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6%

Time*	1	2
10:23 +31’	1.24	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 5–0–1 Tokyo Sun Rockers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/10/26 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Sun Rockers	85-96	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
08/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	84-59	Tokyo Sun Rockers
07/02/26 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	72-62	Tokyo Sun Rockers
16/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	71-68	Tokyo Sun Rockers
29/01/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Sun Rockers	85-59	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
29/12/24 Japan B League Premier	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	77-75	Tokyo Sun Rockers

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins	13	12	1	1204	997
2	Hiroshima Dragonflies	15	13	2	1356	1214
3	Mikawa Seahorses	14	11	3	1286	1119
4	San En Neo Phoenix	12	9	3	1049	979
5	Kyoto Hannaryz	16	9	7	1349	1268
6	Ryukyu Golden Kings	16	8	8	1335	1306
7	Shiga Lakes	16	7	9	1383	1421
8	Shimane Susanoo Magic	15	6	9	1253	1229
9	Shinshu Brave Warriors	17	6	11	1426	1475
10	Nagasaki Velca	18	6	12	1391	1479
11	Kobe Storks	16	4	12	1279	1397
12	Saga Ballooners	15	1	14	1167	1423
13	Osaka Evessa	16	1	15	1121	1455

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/11	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	110-94	W
09/11	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	76-87	L
07/11	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	93-80	W
01/11	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	87-64	W
30/10	Shiga Lakes Japan B League Premier	104-69	W
25/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	96-85	W
21/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	98-69	W
19/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	92-77	W
11/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-78	W
04/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	90-80	W

Tokyo Sun Rockers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/11	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	78-81	L
10/11	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	108-87	W
07/11	Kyoto Hannaryz Japan B League Premier	92-87	W
01/11	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	79-87	L
31/10	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	80-73	W
25/10	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	85-96	L
23/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	95-71	W
21/10	Shinshu Brave Warriors Japan B League Premier	97-90	W
19/10	Chiba Jets Japan B League Premier	107-64	W
17/10	Nagasaki Velca Japan B League Premier	95-63	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Tokyo Sun Rockers?

Our model gives 75% to Nagoya Diamond Dolphins.

How many points are expected in Nagoya Diamond Dolphins vs Tokyo Sun Rockers?

The model estimates 168.5 total points (Nagoya Diamond Dolphins 89 · Tokyo Sun Rockers 79.5).