Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 11/10, 08:05

Prediction: Utsunomiya Brex vs Akita Northern Happinets

Team pages: Utsunomiya Brex · Akita Northern Happinets

Prediction summary

Estimated points

158.9Total

Utsunomiya Brex87

Akita Northern Happinets71.9

1X2

86% 14%

Utsunomiya Brex Akita Northern Happinets

Recent form · 10 last

Utsunomiya Brex 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Akita Northern Happinets 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Utsunomiya Brex 6–0 Akita Northern Happinets (6 last)

Utsunomiya Brex86-81Akita Northern Happinets
Utsunomiya Brex84-78Akita Northern Happinets
Akita Northern Happinets72-89Utsunomiya Brex
Akita Northern Happinets69-80Utsunomiya Brex
Utsunomiya Brex96-87Akita Northern Happinets
Utsunomiya Brex101-62Akita Northern Happinets

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Utsunomiya Brex 1515 · Akita Northern Happinets 1400

	Utsunomiya Brex	Akita Northern Happinets
Our model	76%	24%
Market	88%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 158.9 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -1.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points158.9Utsunomiya Brex 87 · Akita Northern Happinets 71.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Utsunomiya Brex (rating 1515 vs 1400).
Utsunomiya Brex is a clear favourite (86% market).
H2H favours Utsunomiya Brex: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Utsunomiya Brex	Akita Northern Happinets
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.6 / 79.7	71.7 / 87.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	83 / 77	70 / 83.4
Est. result	87	72

Est. total158.9

Line O/U160.5

Diff.1.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.06

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14.5)1.83

2 (+14.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 160.51.83

Under 160.51.83

Diff.: 0.85 · Est. total: 159.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.06 → 1.06	Bet365 1.06
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	2
16:10 +3’	1.06	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:02 +11’	1.05	8.31
16:45 +22’	1.06▲	7.67▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Utsunomiya Brex 6–0–0 Akita Northern Happinets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	86-81	Akita Northern Happinets
06/12/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	84-78	Akita Northern Happinets
20/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Akita Northern Happinets	72-89	Utsunomiya Brex
19/04/25 Japan B League Premier	Akita Northern Happinets	69-80	Utsunomiya Brex
12/01/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	96-87	Akita Northern Happinets
11/01/25 Japan B League Premier	Utsunomiya Brex	101-62	Akita Northern Happinets

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Gunma Crane Thunders	6	5	1	460	416
2	Tokyo Alvark	5	4	1	482	434
3	Tokyo Sun Rockers	6	4	2	545	496
4	Utsunomiya Brex	5	3	2	415	385
5	Levanga Hokkaido	6	3	3	577	573
6	Yokohama B-Corsairs	6	3	3	460	457
7	Toyama Grouses	6	3	3	507	521
8	Sendai 89ers	6	3	3	534	502
9	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	5	2	3	400	437
10	Altiri Chiba	6	2	4	477	510
11	Chiba Jets	6	2	4	573	618
12	Akita Northern Happinets	5	1	4	350	417
13	Ibaraki Robots	6	0	6	470	509

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Utsunomiya Brex

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	90-79	W
04/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	99-77	W
03/10	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	67-77	L
27/09	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	71-74	L
26/09	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League 1	88-78	W
10/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	66-75	L
09/05	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	82-89	L
03/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	70-92	L
02/05	Ryukyu Golden Kings Japan B League Premier	83-82	W
26/04	Nagoya Diamond Dolphins Japan B League Premier	90-74	W

Akita Northern Happinets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	81-87	L
04/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	76-86	L
03/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	63-90	L
27/09	Sendai 89ers Japan B League Premier	75-73	W
26/09	Sendai 89ers Japan B League 1	55-81	L
03/05	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	70-87	L
02/05	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	72-85	L
26/04	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	77-94	L
25/04	Toyama Grouses Japan B League Premier	72-82	L
22/04	Levanga Hokkaido Japan B League Premier	76-108	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Utsunomiya Brex vs Akita Northern Happinets?

Our model gives 86% to Utsunomiya Brex.

How many points are expected in Utsunomiya Brex vs Akita Northern Happinets?

The model estimates 158.9 total points (Utsunomiya Brex 87 · Akita Northern Happinets 71.9).