Basketball · Japan B League Premier · 06/11, 11:05

Prediction: Sendai 89ers vs Tokyo Alvark

Team pages: Sendai 89ers · Tokyo Alvark

Prediction summary

Estimated points

171.4Total

Sendai 89ers84.8

Tokyo Alvark86.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

45% 55%

Sendai 89ers Tokyo Alvark

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Sendai 89ers 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Tokyo Alvark 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sendai 89ers 1–5 Tokyo Alvark (6 last)

Sendai 89ers83-80Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark94-80Sendai 89ers
Sendai 89ers64-79Tokyo Alvark
Sendai 89ers57-82Tokyo Alvark
Sendai 89ers68-78Tokyo Alvark
Tokyo Alvark92-72Sendai 89ers

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sendai 89ers 1569 · Tokyo Alvark 1573

	Sendai 89ers	Tokyo Alvark
Our model	62%	38%
Market	40%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 171.4 points · Bet365 line 171.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points171.4Sendai 89ers 84.8 · Tokyo Alvark 86.6

Match keys

H2H favours Tokyo Alvark: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sendai 89ers	Tokyo Alvark
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.1 / 78.2	94.3 / 80.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	86 / 79.6	93.2 / 81.8
Est. result	85	87

Est. total171.4

Line O/U171.5

Diff.0.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

21.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.83

2 (-3.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 171.51.83

Under 171.51.83

Diff.: 2.55 · Est. total: 168.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
2	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.68 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8% Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	2
14:08 +40’	2.30	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
15:21 +28’	2.15	1.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sendai 89ers 1–0–5 Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Japan B League Premier	Sendai 89ers	83-80	Tokyo Alvark
05/11/25 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	94-80	Sendai 89ers
09/02/25 Japan B League Premier	Sendai 89ers	64-79	Tokyo Alvark
08/02/25 Japan B League Premier	Sendai 89ers	57-82	Tokyo Alvark
10/04/24 Japan B League Premier	Sendai 89ers	68-78	Tokyo Alvark
17/01/24 Japan B League Premier	Tokyo Alvark	92-72	Sendai 89ers

Standings · Japan B League Premier · Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Tokyo Alvark	14	11	3	1335	1163
2	Sendai 89ers	14	10	4	1199	1120
3	Gunma Crane Thunders	13	9	4	1063	947
4	Tokyo Sun Rockers	14	9	5	1251	1110
5	Toyama Grouses	13	8	5	1088	1114
6	Levanga Hokkaido	12	7	5	1143	1128
7	Yokohama B-Corsairs	14	7	7	1107	1164
8	Ibaraki Robots	14	6	8	1171	1115
9	Utsunomiya Brex	13	5	8	1056	1108
10	Altiri Chiba	14	5	9	1121	1207
11	Kanagawa Brave Thunders	13	4	9	1031	1094
12	Chiba Jets	13	4	9	1177	1261
13	Akita Northern Happinets	13	4	9	1026	1127

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sendai 89ers	Tokyo Alvark
Kanagawa Brave Thunders	93-82 W	94-82 W
Utsunomiya Brex	85-81 W	106-71 W
Mikawa Seahorses	105-90 W	82-91 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tokyo Alvark (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sendai 89ers

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	87-79	W
31/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	73-80	L
26/10	Shimane Susanoo Magic Japan B League Premier	86-85	W
24/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	93-82	W
22/10	Yokohama B-Corsairs Japan B League Premier	91-72	W
19/10	Kobe Storks Japan B League Premier	80-71	W
17/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	85-81	W
11/10	Tokyo Sun Rockers Japan B League Premier	70-68	W
09/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	105-90	W
07/10	Altiri Chiba Japan B League Premier	81-74	W

Tokyo Alvark

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	106-71	W
31/10	Utsunomiya Brex Japan B League Premier	100-90	W
26/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	112-88	W
24/10	Mikawa Seahorses Japan B League Premier	82-91	L
22/10	Ibaraki Robots Japan B League Premier	66-69	L
19/10	Akita Northern Happinets Japan B League Premier	90-74	W
17/10	Gunma Crane Thunders Japan B League Premier	100-86	W
12/10	Osaka Evessa Japan B League Premier	103-78	W
10/10	Kanagawa Brave Thunders Japan B League Premier	94-82	W
08/10	Saga Ballooners Japan B League Premier	90-74	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sendai 89ers vs Tokyo Alvark?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Sendai 89ers 45% · Tokyo Alvark 55%).

How many points are expected in Sendai 89ers vs Tokyo Alvark?

The model estimates 171.4 total points (Sendai 89ers 84.8 · Tokyo Alvark 86.6).