Basketball · Chile LNB · 10/07, 02:00

Prediction: Puente Alto vs CDU Concepcion

Estimated 170.8 total points (Puente Alto 83.3 · CDU Concepcion 87.4).

Recent form leaves Puente Alto with 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; CDU Concepcion has piled up 7-0-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Puente Alto won 0 and CDU Concepcion 6.

59%2
41% 59%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Puente Alto 1520 · CDU Concepcion 1589
Puente AltoCDU Concepcion
Our model53%47%
Market38%63%
Estimated total (ours) 170.8 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points170.8Puente Alto 83.3 · CDU Concepcion 87.4

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CDU Concepcion (rating 1520 vs 1589).
  • H2H favours CDU Concepcion: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Puente AltoCDU Concepcion
Points F|A (Last 10)84.1 / 79.895.1 / 80.6
Points F|A (Last 5)79.6 / 82.682.8 / 81.2
Est. result8387
Est. total170.8
Line O/U171.5
Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Puente Alto 006 CDU Concepcion

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/04/26
Chile LNB
CDU Concepcion92-87Puente Alto
06/04/26
Chile LNB
Puente Alto77-88CDU Concepcion
14/03/25
Chile LNB
Puente Alto82-114CDU Concepcion
06/03/25
Chile LNB
CDU Concepcion104-81Puente Alto
21/12/24
Chile LNB Cup
CDU Concepcion75-64Puente Alto
16/03/24
Chile LNB
CDU Concepcion73-70Puente Alto

Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Conference Center

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 CDU Concepcion 12120 115489524
2 Puente Alto 1293 104093021
3 Colegio Los Leones 1284 99494820
4 CD Boston College 1266 991111218
5 CSD Colo Colo 1248 90894916
6 Universidad Catolica 12210 929104614
7 CD Espanol Talca 12111 890102613

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPuente AltoCDU Concepcion
Colegio Los Leones 68-83 L 78-79 L
CD Espanol Talca 84-79 W 109-80 W
CD Boston College 101-68 W 92-83 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CDU Concepcion (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Puente Alto

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Date Opponent FT Res.
26/05 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
68-83 L
24/05 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
81-89 L
23/05 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
73-64 W
17/05 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
93-101 L
16/05 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
83-76 W
10/05 CD Espanol Talca
Chile LNB
84-79 W
08/05 CD Espanol Talca
Chile LNB
93-76 W
04/05 Universidad Catolica
Chile LNB
78-70 W
02/05 CD Boston College
Chile LNB
101-68 W
27/04 CDU Concepcion
Chile LNB
87-92 L

CDU Concepcion

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Date Opponent FT Res.
10/06 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
78-79 L
08/06 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
81-74 W
07/06 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
78-83 L
01/06 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
89-78 W
31/05 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
88-92 L
23/05 CD Boston College
Chile LNB
92-83 W
18/05 CD Boston College
Chile LNB
119-83 W
17/05 CD Boston College
Chile LNB
120-66 W
03/05 CD Espanol Talca
Chile LNB
109-80 W
30/04 Colegio Los Leones
Chile LNB
97-88 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Puente Alto vs CDU Concepcion?

Our model gives 59% to CDU Concepcion.

How many points are expected in Puente Alto vs CDU Concepcion?

The model estimates 170.8 total points (Puente Alto 83.3 · CDU Concepcion 87.4).