Basketball · Chile LNB · 19/07, 02:30

Prediction: ABA Ancud vs Puerto Varas

Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.7Total
ABA Ancud78.5
Puerto Varas78.2
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
51% 49%
ABA Ancud Puerto Varas

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
ABA Ancud 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWWLWLLL
Puerto Varas 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLWWLLLW
Head-to-head
ABA Ancud 2–4 Puerto Varas (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ABA Ancud 1482 · Puerto Varas 1526
ABA AncudPuerto Varas
Our model57%43%
Market50%50%
Estimated total (ours) 156.7 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · -3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points156.7ABA Ancud 78.5 · Puerto Varas 78.2

Match keys

  • H2H favours Puerto Varas: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

ABA AncudPuerto Varas
Points F|A (Last 10)83.8 / 8372.2 / 76.3
Points F|A (Last 5)75 / 78.868 / 78.4
Est. result7978
Est. total156.7
Line O/U160.5
Diff.3.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · ABA Ancud 204 Puerto Varas

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/05/26
Chile LNB
Puerto Varas75-74ABA Ancud
10/05/26
Chile LNB
ABA Ancud76-66Puerto Varas
08/05/26
Chile LNB
Puerto Varas69-64ABA Ancud
26/04/26
Chile LNB
ABA Ancud101-78Puerto Varas
05/04/26
Chile LNB
Puerto Varas86-69ABA Ancud
26/10/25
Chile LNB
Puerto Varas90-75ABA Ancud

Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Valdivia 330 2952146
2 Espanol Osorno 321 2612695
3 Las Animas 220 1881354
4 Puerto Varas 211 1371783
5 Puerto Montt 202 1651772
6 ABA Ancud 202 1611842
7 CD Castro 202 1321822

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentABA AncudPuerto Varas
Espanol Osorno 83-87 L 55-69 L
Puerto Montt 90-88 W 86-81 W
Las Animas 82-85 L 51-97 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: ABA Ancud (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ABA Ancud

LWLWWLWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
13/07 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
78-97 L
12/07 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
83-87 L
12/05 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
74-75 L
10/05 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
76-66 W
08/05 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
64-69 L
02/05 CD Castro
Chile LNB
104-85 W
30/04 Puerto Montt
Chile LNB
90-88 W
27/04 Las Animas
Chile LNB
82-85 L
26/04 Puerto Varas
Chile LNB
101-78 W
20/04 Deportivo Valdivia
Chile LNB
86-100 L

Puerto Varas

LWWLWWLLLW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
14/07 Puerto Montt
Chile LNB
86-81 W
10/07 Las Animas
Chile LNB
51-97 L
09/06 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
55-69 L
06/06 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
61-62 L
05/06 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
87-83 W
30/05 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
63-60 W
29/05 Espanol Osorno
Chile LNB
75-81 L
24/05 Las Animas
Chile LNB
79-72 W
23/05 Las Animas
Chile LNB
94-76 W
17/05 Las Animas
Chile LNB
71-82 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ABA Ancud vs Puerto Varas?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (ABA Ancud 51% · Puerto Varas 49%).

How many points are expected in ABA Ancud vs Puerto Varas?

The model estimates 156.7 total points (ABA Ancud 78.5 · Puerto Varas 78.2).