Basketball · Chile LNB · 20/07, 01:00
Prediction: Espanol Osorno vs Puerto Montt
Prediction summary
Estimated points
160.4Total
Espanol Osorno86.3
Puerto Montt74.1
1X2
Espanol Osorno
Puerto Montt
Recent form · 10 last
Espanol Osorno
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Puerto Montt
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Espanol Osorno
5–1
Puerto Montt
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Espanol Osorno 1548 · Puerto Montt 1410
| Espanol Osorno | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
160.4 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +1.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points160.4Espanol Osorno 86.3 · Puerto Montt 74.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Espanol Osorno (rating 1548 vs 1410).
- Espanol Osorno is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Espanol Osorno: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Espanol Osorno | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.7 / 77.4 | 76 / 89.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80.2 / 80.2 | 73.2 / 93 |
| Est. result | 86 | 74 |
Est. total160.4
Line O/U158.5
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Espanol Osorno 5–0–1 Puerto Montt
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Chile LNB | Espanol Osorno | 79-67 | Puerto Montt |
| 06/04/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 77-75 | Espanol Osorno |
| 01/04/24 Chile LNB | Espanol Osorno | 110-52 | Puerto Montt |
| 11/02/24 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 57-75 | Espanol Osorno |
| 18/11/23 Chile LNB Cup | Espanol Osorno | 86-51 | Puerto Montt |
| 01/10/23 Chile Super Cup | Puerto Montt | 59-83 | Espanol Osorno |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 295 | 214 | 6 |
| 2 | Espanol Osorno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 269 | 5 |
| 3 | Las Animas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 135 | 4 |
| 4 | Puerto Varas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 137 | 178 | 3 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 165 | 177 | 2 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 2 | 0 | 2 | 161 | 184 | 2 |
| 7 | CD Castro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 132 | 182 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Espanol Osorno | Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Valdivia | 82-108 L | 70-88 L |
| CD Castro | 92-78 W | 89-86 W |
| ABA Ancud | 87-83 W | 88-90 L |
| Puerto Varas | 69-55 W | 81-86 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Espanol Osorno (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Espanol Osorno
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
82-108 | L |
| 13/07 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
92-78 | W |
| 12/07 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
87-83 | W |
| 14/06 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
71-77 | L |
| 09/06 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
69-55 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
62-61 | W |
| 05/06 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
83-87 | L |
| 30/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
60-63 | L |
| 29/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
81-75 | W |
| 22/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
90-87 | W |
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
70-88 | L |
| 14/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
81-86 | L |
| 12/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
84-91 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
75-97 | L |
| 07/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
56-103 | L |
| 04/05 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
89-86 | W |
| 30/04 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
88-90 | L |
| 27/04 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
67-79 | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
72-82 | L |
| 18/04 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
78-91 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Espanol Osorno vs Puerto Montt?
Our model gives 81% to Espanol Osorno.
How many points are expected in Espanol Osorno vs Puerto Montt?
The model estimates 160.4 total points (Espanol Osorno 86.3 · Puerto Montt 74.1).