Basketball · Chile LNB · 19/07, 02:00
Prediction: CD Castro vs Las Animas
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169Total
CD Castro81
Las Animas88
1X2
CD Castro
Las Animas
Recent form · 10 last
CD Castro
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Las Animas
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Castro
0–6
Las Animas
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Castro 1382 · Las Animas 1550
| CD Castro | Las Animas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
169 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · +2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points169CD Castro 81 · Las Animas 88
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Las Animas (rating 1382 vs 1550).
- Las Animas is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Las Animas: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CD Castro | Las Animas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75 / 96 | 85.9 / 78.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 71.6 / 95 | 83.6 / 75.8 |
| Est. result | 81 | 88 |
Est. total169
Line O/U166.5
Diff.2.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Castro 0–0–6 Las Animas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 69-92 | Las Animas |
| 08/05/26 Chile LNB | Las Animas | 112-71 | CD Castro |
| 26/04/26 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 71-86 | Las Animas |
| 05/04/26 Chile LNB | Las Animas | 104-67 | CD Castro |
| 28/04/24 Chile LNB | Las Animas | 87-75 | CD Castro |
| 21/01/24 Chile LNB | CD Castro | 61-75 | Las Animas |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 295 | 214 | 6 |
| 2 | Espanol Osorno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 269 | 5 |
| 3 | Las Animas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 135 | 4 |
| 4 | Puerto Varas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 137 | 178 | 3 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 165 | 177 | 2 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 2 | 0 | 2 | 161 | 184 | 2 |
| 7 | CD Castro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 132 | 182 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Castro | Las Animas |
|---|---|---|
| Espanol Osorno | 78-92 L | 78-85 L |
| Deportivo Valdivia | 54-90 L | 83-97 L |
| Puerto Montt | 86-89 L | 91-84 W |
| Puerto Varas | 93-95 L | 97-51 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Las Animas (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Castro
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
78-92 | L |
| 12/07 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
54-90 | L |
| 11/05 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
69-92 | L |
| 08/05 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
71-112 | L |
| 04/05 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
86-89 | L |
| 02/05 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
85-104 | L |
| 27/04 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
93-95 | L |
| 26/04 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
71-86 | L |
| 20/04 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
75-98 | L |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
68-102 | L |
Las Animas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
91-84 | W |
| 10/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
97-51 | W |
| 24/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
72-79 | L |
| 23/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
76-94 | L |
| 17/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
82-71 | W |
| 16/05 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
76-81 | L |
| 11/05 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
92-69 | W |
| 08/05 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
112-71 | W |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
83-97 | L |
| 03/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
78-85 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Castro vs Las Animas?
Our model gives 69% to Las Animas.
How many points are expected in CD Castro vs Las Animas?
The model estimates 169 total points (CD Castro 81 · Las Animas 88).