Basketball · Chile LNB · 18/07, 02:30
Prediction: Puerto Montt vs Deportivo Valdivia
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.7Total
Puerto Montt75.7
Deportivo Valdivia88
1X2
Puerto Montt
Deportivo Valdivia
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Montt
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Valdivia
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Montt
0–6
Deportivo Valdivia
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Montt 1405 · Deportivo Valdivia 1559
| Puerto Montt | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
Estimated total (ours)
163.7 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -2.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points163.7Puerto Montt 75.7 · Deportivo Valdivia 88
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Valdivia (rating 1405 vs 1559).
- Deportivo Valdivia is a clear favourite (81% market).
- H2H favours Deportivo Valdivia: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Puerto Montt | Deportivo Valdivia | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.5 / 89.1 | 90.2 / 75.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77 / 92.6 | 87.8 / 74.6 |
| Est. result | 76 | 88 |
Est. total163.7
Line O/U166.5
Diff.2.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt 0–0–6 Deportivo Valdivia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 75-97 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 07/05/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 103-56 | Puerto Montt |
| 23/04/26 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 72-82 | Deportivo Valdivia |
| 02/04/26 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 70-64 | Puerto Montt |
| 06/05/24 Chile LNB | Deportivo Valdivia | 83-68 | Puerto Montt |
| 14/01/24 Chile LNB | Puerto Montt | 69-91 | Deportivo Valdivia |
Standings · Chile LNB · Clausura, Conference South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Valdivia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 295 | 214 | 6 |
| 2 | Espanol Osorno | 3 | 2 | 1 | 261 | 269 | 5 |
| 3 | Las Animas | 2 | 2 | 0 | 188 | 135 | 4 |
| 4 | Puerto Varas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 137 | 178 | 3 |
| 5 | Puerto Montt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 165 | 177 | 2 |
| 6 | ABA Ancud | 2 | 0 | 2 | 161 | 184 | 2 |
| 7 | CD Castro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 132 | 182 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Montt | Deportivo Valdivia |
|---|---|---|
| Las Animas | 84-91 L | 97-83 W |
| CD Castro | 89-86 W | 90-54 W |
| ABA Ancud | 88-90 L | 97-78 W |
| Espanol Osorno | 67-79 L | 108-82 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Valdivia (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
81-86 | L |
| 12/07 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
84-91 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
75-97 | L |
| 07/05 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
56-103 | L |
| 04/05 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
89-86 | W |
| 30/04 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
88-90 | L |
| 27/04 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
67-79 | L |
| 23/04 | Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB |
72-82 | L |
| 18/04 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
78-91 | L |
| 16/04 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
85-86 | L |
Deportivo Valdivia
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
108-82 | W |
| 13/07 | ABA Ancud Chile LNB |
97-78 | W |
| 12/07 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
90-54 | W |
| 22/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
87-90 | L |
| 21/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
57-69 | L |
| 16/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
92-74 | W |
| 15/05 | Espanol Osorno Chile LNB |
74-95 | L |
| 10/05 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
97-75 | W |
| 07/05 | Puerto Montt Chile LNB |
103-56 | W |
| 04/05 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
97-83 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt vs Deportivo Valdivia?
Our model gives 81% to Deportivo Valdivia.
How many points are expected in Puerto Montt vs Deportivo Valdivia?
The model estimates 163.7 total points (Puerto Montt 75.7 · Deportivo Valdivia 88).