Basketball · New Zealand NBL · 18/07, 09:30

Prediction: Wellington Saints vs Tauranga Whai

Prediction summary

Estimated points

181.1Total

Wellington Saints95.1

Tauranga Whai86

1X2

74% 26%

Wellington Saints Tauranga Whai

Recent form · 10 last

Wellington Saints 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Tauranga Whai 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Wellington Saints 5–1 Tauranga Whai (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points181.1Wellington Saints 95.1 · Tauranga Whai 86

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wellington Saints (rating 1550 vs 1460).
Wellington Saints is a clear favourite (74% market).
H2H favours Wellington Saints: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Wellington Saints	Tauranga Whai
Points F\|A (Last 10)	96.6 / 91.2	81.5 / 91.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	96 / 91.8	82.4 / 100
Est. result	95	86

Est. total181.1

Line O/U181.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wellington Saints 5–0–1 Tauranga Whai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/07/26 New Zealand NBL	Tauranga Whai	95-109	Wellington Saints
13/07/25 New Zealand NBL	Wellington Saints	93-68	Tauranga Whai
21/06/25 New Zealand NBL	Wellington Saints	103-77	Tauranga Whai
23/05/25 New Zealand NBL	Tauranga Whai	82-78	Wellington Saints
03/07/24 New Zealand NBL	Wellington Saints	100-94	Tauranga Whai
29/05/24 New Zealand NBL	Tauranga Whai	90-102	Wellington Saints

Standings · New Zealand NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Southland Sharks	18	15	3	1730	1587	30
2	Canterbury Rams	18	14	4	1758	1529	28
3	Auckland Tuatara	17	14	3	1623	1404	28
4	Wellington Saints	17	12	5	1675	1531	24
5	Otago Nuggets	18	9	9	1560	1570	18
6	Manawatu Jets	18	7	11	1663	1796	14
7	Nelson Giants	19	6	13	1659	1725	12
8	Taranaki Airs	18	6	12	1498	1622	12
9	Tauranga Whai	17	6	11	1432	1578	12
10	Franklin Bulls	17	5	12	1518	1621	10
11	Hawke’s Bay Hawks	17	3	14	1500	1653	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wellington Saints	Tauranga Whai
Canterbury Rams	88-98 L	69-101 L
Nelson Giants	111-109 W	69-58 W
Franklin Bulls	81-67 W	93-79 W
Auckland Tuatara	88-96 L	59-109 L
Manawatu Jets	105-84 W	96-92 W
Hawke’s Bay Hawks	107-79 W	94-88 W
Southland Sharks	90-104 L	96-102 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wellington Saints (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wellington Saints

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/07	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	88-98	L
10/07	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	109-95	W
04/07	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	91-90	W
27/06	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	111-109	W
21/06	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	81-67	W
14/06	Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL	88-96	L
07/06	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	96-90	W
01/06	Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL	105-84	W
25/05	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	107-79	W
21/05	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	90-104	L

Tauranga Whai

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/07	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	95-109	L
04/07	Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL	59-109	L
27/06	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	93-79	W
24/06	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	96-102	L
19/06	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	69-101	L
14/06	Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL	96-92	W
12/06	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	73-85	L
06/06	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	69-58	W
30/05	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	94-88	W
23/05	Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL	71-96	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wellington Saints vs Tauranga Whai?

Our model gives 74% to Wellington Saints.

How many points are expected in Wellington Saints vs Tauranga Whai?

The model estimates 181.1 total points (Wellington Saints 95.1 · Tauranga Whai 86).