Basketball · New Zealand NBL · 24/07, 09:30

Prediction: Manawatu Jets vs Franklin Bulls

Prediction summary

Estimated points

183.3Total

Manawatu Jets95.3

Franklin Bulls88

1X2

70% 30%

Manawatu Jets Franklin Bulls

Markets

Under 187 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Manawatu Jets 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Franklin Bulls 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Manawatu Jets 2–4 Franklin Bulls (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points183.3Manawatu Jets 95.3 · Franklin Bulls 88

Over / Under 187Under · 70%recent trend · ~178 pts · strength 9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manawatu Jets (rating 1482 vs 1427).
Manawatu Jets is a clear favourite (70% market).
H2H favours Franklin Bulls: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Manawatu Jets	Franklin Bulls
Points F\|A (Last 10)	91.4 / 97.5	83.7 / 90.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	95.4 / 101	80.6 / 87
Est. result	95	88

Est. total183.3

Line O/U187

Diff.3.7

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1871.91

Under 1871.83

Diff.: 5.5 · Est. total: 181.5

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.26 → 1.26	Pinn 1.26
2	3.42 → 3.42	Pinn 3.42

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.8%

Time*	1	2
09:43 +2’	1.26	3.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Manawatu Jets 2–0–4 Franklin Bulls

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/05/26 New Zealand NBL	Franklin Bulls	103-112	Manawatu Jets
26/06/25 New Zealand NBL	Franklin Bulls	106-69	Manawatu Jets
25/05/25 New Zealand NBL	Manawatu Jets	92-87	Franklin Bulls
09/06/24 New Zealand NBL	Manawatu Jets	92-99	Franklin Bulls
14/04/24 New Zealand NBL	Franklin Bulls	101-83	Manawatu Jets
04/06/23 New Zealand NBL	Franklin Bulls	97-82	Manawatu Jets

Standings · New Zealand NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Southland Sharks	19	16	3	1833	1649	32
2	Canterbury Rams	19	15	4	1849	1609	30
3	Auckland Tuatara	19	15	4	1811	1586	30
4	Wellington Saints	18	13	5	1782	1626	26
5	Otago Nuggets	19	10	9	1652	1649	20
6	Manawatu Jets	19	7	12	1754	1904	14
7	Nelson Giants	19	6	13	1659	1725	12
8	Franklin Bulls	18	6	12	1602	1702	12
9	Taranaki Airs	19	6	13	1579	1706	12
10	Tauranga Whai	18	6	12	1527	1685	12
11	Hawke’s Bay Hawks	19	3	16	1641	1848	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Manawatu Jets	Franklin Bulls
Auckland Tuatara	91-108 L	72-107 L
Nelson Giants	120-113 W	85-88 L
Hawke’s Bay Hawks	97-88 W	95-101 L
Otago Nuggets	104-97 W	88-92 L
Tauranga Whai	92-96 L	79-93 L
Wellington Saints	84-105 L	67-81 L
Taranaki Airs	89-77 W	84-81 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Manawatu Jets (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Manawatu Jets

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/07	Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL	91-108	L
13/07	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	120-113	W
11/07	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	97-88	W
03/07	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	65-99	L
25/06	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	104-97	W
17/06	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	79-92	L
14/06	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	92-96	L
01/06	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	84-105	L
29/05	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	89-77	W
22/05	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	93-100	L

Franklin Bulls

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/07	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	84-81	W
10/07	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	88-92	L
05/07	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	85-88	L
27/06	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	79-93	L
21/06	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	67-81	L
13/06	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	95-101	L
07/06	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	75-86	L
05/06	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	94-93	W
31/05	Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL	72-107	L
23/05	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	98-82	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Manawatu Jets vs Franklin Bulls?

Our model gives 70% to Manawatu Jets.

How many points are expected in Manawatu Jets vs Franklin Bulls?

The model estimates 183.3 total points (Manawatu Jets 95.3 · Franklin Bulls 88).

Over or under 187 points?

Recent history points to under 187 points (70%).