Basketball · New Zealand NBL · 26/07, 05:00

Prediction: Auckland Tuatara vs Taranaki Airs

Prediction summary

Estimated points

170.8Total

Auckland Tuatara90.6

Taranaki Airs80.2

1X2

77% 23%

Auckland Tuatara Taranaki Airs

Recent form · 10 last

Auckland Tuatara 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWL

Taranaki Airs 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLWLLL

Head-to-head

Auckland Tuatara 3–3 Taranaki Airs (6 last)

Taranaki Airs69-90Auckland Tuatara
Taranaki Airs111-110Auckland Tuatara
Auckland Tuatara79-102Taranaki Airs

Model analysis

Estimated points170.8Auckland Tuatara 90.6 · Taranaki Airs 80.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Auckland Tuatara (rating 1573 vs 1449).
Auckland Tuatara is a clear favourite (77% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Auckland Tuatara	Taranaki Airs
Points F\|A (Last 10)	94.3 / 80.7	82.8 / 86.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93 / 81.4	83.4 / 87.8
Est. result	91	80

Est. total170.8

Line O/U176

Diff.5.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1761.82

Under 1761.93

Diff.: 3.8 · Est. total: 172.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.04 → 1.03▼	Pinn 1.03
2	8.01 → 8.65▲	Pinn 8.65

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	2
05:44 +2’	1.04	8.01
06:45 +1’	1.03▼	8.65▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 176

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Auckland Tuatara 3–0–3 Taranaki Airs

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 New Zealand NBL	Taranaki Airs	69-90	Auckland Tuatara
21/04/25 New Zealand NBL	Taranaki Airs	111-110	Auckland Tuatara
23/03/25 New Zealand NBL	Auckland Tuatara	79-102	Taranaki Airs
07/07/24 New Zealand NBL	Taranaki Airs	76-77	Auckland Tuatara
04/04/24 New Zealand NBL	Auckland Tuatara	84-77	Taranaki Airs
16/03/24 Club Friendlies	Auckland Tuatara	74-91	Taranaki Airs

Standings · New Zealand NBL

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Southland Sharks	19	16	3	1833	1649	32
2	Canterbury Rams	19	15	4	1849	1609	30
3	Auckland Tuatara	19	15	4	1811	1586	30
4	Wellington Saints	19	14	5	1889	1708	28
5	Otago Nuggets	20	10	10	1718	1756	20
6	Tauranga Whai	19	7	12	1634	1751	14
7	Manawatu Jets	19	7	12	1754	1904	14
8	Nelson Giants	19	6	13	1659	1725	12
9	Franklin Bulls	18	6	12	1602	1702	12
10	Taranaki Airs	19	6	13	1579	1706	12
11	Hawke’s Bay Hawks	20	3	17	1723	1955	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Auckland Tuatara	Taranaki Airs
Canterbury Rams	80-91 L	90-93 L
Manawatu Jets	108-91 W	77-89 L
Otago Nuggets	80-84 L	77-90 L
Tauranga Whai	109-59 W	85-73 W
Nelson Giants	88-82 W	73-98 L
Hawke’s Bay Hawks	85-74 W	96-74 W
Franklin Bulls	107-72 W	81-84 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Auckland Tuatara (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Auckland Tuatara

WWWWWWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/07	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	80-91	L
17/07	Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL	108-91	W
12/07	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	80-84	L
04/07	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	109-59	W
28/06	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	88-82	W
20/06	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	85-74	W
14/06	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	96-88	W
06/06	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	90-69	W
03/06	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	100-97	W
31/05	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	107-72	W

Taranaki Airs

LLWWLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/07	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	81-84	L
15/07	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	73-98	L
09/07	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	90-93	L
02/07	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	96-74	W
27/06	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	77-90	L
20/06	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	87-91	L
18/06	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	93-84	W
12/06	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	85-73	W
06/06	Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL	69-90	L
29/05	Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL	77-89	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Auckland Tuatara vs Taranaki Airs?

Our model gives 77% to Auckland Tuatara.

How many points are expected in Auckland Tuatara vs Taranaki Airs?

The model estimates 170.8 total points (Auckland Tuatara 90.6 · Taranaki Airs 80.2).