Basketball · New Zealand NBL · 25/07, 09:30

Prediction: Nelson Giants vs Tauranga Whai

Prediction summary

Estimated points

175.8Total

Nelson Giants90.6

Tauranga Whai85.2

1X2

65% 35%

Nelson Giants Tauranga Whai

Recent form · 10 last

Nelson Giants 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWLLW

Tauranga Whai 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLLLW

Head-to-head

Nelson Giants 1–5 Tauranga Whai (6 last)

Tauranga Whai69-58Nelson Giants
Tauranga Whai102-84Nelson Giants
Nelson Giants81-85Tauranga Whai

Model analysis

Estimated points175.8Nelson Giants 90.6 · Tauranga Whai 85.2

Match keys

Nelson Giants is a clear favourite (65% market).
H2H favours Tauranga Whai: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nelson Giants	Tauranga Whai
Points F\|A (Last 10)	89 / 88.8	85.2 / 90.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90.4 / 89.8	89.8 / 94
Est. result	91	85

Est. total175.8

Line O/U177

Diff.1.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1771.87

Under 1771.87

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 176.9

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.69 → 1.81▲	Pinn 1.81
2	2.08 → 1.93▼	Pinn 1.93

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	2
09:44 +1’	1.69	2.08
10:43 +2’	1.81▲	1.93▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nelson Giants 1–0–5 Tauranga Whai

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 New Zealand NBL	Tauranga Whai	69-58	Nelson Giants
06/06/25 New Zealand NBL	Tauranga Whai	102-84	Nelson Giants
12/04/25 New Zealand NBL	Nelson Giants	81-85	Tauranga Whai
06/03/25 Basketball Matches	Nelson Giants	69-71	Tauranga Whai
07/06/24 New Zealand NBL	Tauranga Whai	73-84	Nelson Giants
19/05/24 New Zealand NBL	Nelson Giants	69-83	Tauranga Whai

Standings · New Zealand NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Southland Sharks	19	16	3	1833	1649	32
2	Canterbury Rams	19	15	4	1849	1609	30
3	Auckland Tuatara	19	15	4	1811	1586	30
4	Wellington Saints	18	13	5	1782	1626	26
5	Otago Nuggets	20	10	10	1718	1756	20
6	Tauranga Whai	19	7	12	1634	1751	14
7	Manawatu Jets	19	7	12	1754	1904	14
8	Nelson Giants	19	6	13	1659	1725	12
9	Franklin Bulls	18	6	12	1602	1702	12
10	Taranaki Airs	19	6	13	1579	1706	12
11	Hawke’s Bay Hawks	19	3	16	1641	1848	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nelson Giants	Tauranga Whai
Taranaki Airs	98-73 W	73-85 L
Manawatu Jets	113-120 L	96-92 W
Southland Sharks	71-83 L	96-102 L
Franklin Bulls	88-85 W	93-79 W
Auckland Tuatara	82-88 L	59-109 L
Wellington Saints	109-111 L	95-107 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nelson Giants

WLLWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/07	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	98-73	W
13/07	Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL	113-120	L
11/07	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	71-83	L
05/07	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	88-85	W
28/06	Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL	82-88	L
27/06	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	109-111	L
17/06	Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL	92-79	W
13/06	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	85-95	L
06/06	Tauranga Whai New Zealand NBL	58-69	L
04/06	Hawke’s Bay Hawks New Zealand NBL	94-85	W

Tauranga Whai

WLWLLWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/07	Otago Nuggets New Zealand NBL	107-66	W
18/07	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	95-107	L
10/07	Wellington Saints New Zealand NBL	95-109	L
04/07	Auckland Tuatara New Zealand NBL	59-109	L
27/06	Franklin Bulls New Zealand NBL	93-79	W
24/06	Southland Sharks New Zealand NBL	96-102	L
19/06	Canterbury Rams New Zealand NBL	69-101	L
14/06	Manawatu Jets New Zealand NBL	96-92	W
12/06	Taranaki Airs New Zealand NBL	73-85	L
06/06	Nelson Giants New Zealand NBL	69-58	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nelson Giants vs Tauranga Whai?

Our model gives 65% to Nelson Giants.

How many points are expected in Nelson Giants vs Tauranga Whai?

The model estimates 175.8 total points (Nelson Giants 90.6 · Tauranga Whai 85.2).