Tennis · M15 Zamora · 12/11, 16:00
Prediction: Matias Soto vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Team pages: Matias Soto · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Soto
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Soto
6-4 (W-L)
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Soto 1500 · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1586
| Matias Soto | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (rating 1500 vs 1586).
- Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matias Soto | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.9-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8 | 12.2-7.2 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Soto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Alexander Bernard M15 Zamora |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/11 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Zamora |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Frazier Rengifo M25 Guadalajara |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/10 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/10 | Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/10 | Lance A L Castelan M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Alan Sau Franco M15 Zamora |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/11 | Yannik Alvarez M15 Zamora |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Lorenzo Claverie M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Soto vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes?
Our model gives 55% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.