Tennis · M15 Zamora · 11/11, 20:00
Prediction: Rodrigo Alujas vs Blu Baker
Team pages: Rodrigo Alujas · Blu Baker
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Alujas
Blu Baker
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Alujas
4-6 (W-L)
Blu Baker
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Alujas 1497 · Blu Baker 1504
| Rodrigo Alujas | Blu Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Rodrigo Alujas | Blu Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-9.4 | 11.4-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 69% |
| Break % | 46% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Alujas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Alan Sau Franco M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/11 | Frazier Rengifo M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/10 | Rafael De Alba M15 Mazatlan |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Marco Alvarez M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Blu Baker
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Lorenzo Claverie M25 Guadalajara |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/11 | Rafael De Alba M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/11 | Frazier Rengifo M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/10 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Austin |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lui Maxted M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Guilherme Valdoleiros M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 14/09 | Tyler Stice M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 04/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/09 | Manuel Plunger M15 Bologna · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Alujas vs Blu Baker?
Our model gives 58% to Blu Baker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.