Tennis · M15 Zamora · 11/11, 19:30
Prediction: Alan Sau Franco vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Team pages: Alan Sau Franco · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Sau Franco
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Sau Franco
1-9 (W-L)
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Sau Franco 1405 · Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes 1599
| Alan Sau Franco | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 75% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes (rating 1405 vs 1599).
- Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alan Sau Franco | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.9 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.6-13 | 12-7.7 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 24.3% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Sau Franco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M15 Zamora |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 03/11 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Guadalajara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Jesse Flores M15 Mazatlan |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Benjamin Thomas George M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Miguel Semedo M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Kemal Arda Karakas M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Drew Van Orderlain M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 24/04 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Yannik Alvarez M15 Zamora |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Lorenzo Claverie M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/11 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 22/10 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/10 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Eero Vasa M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Sau Franco vs Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes?
Our model gives 85% to Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.