Tennis · M15 Zamora · 11/11, 18:00
Prediction: Rafael De Alba vs Elijah Strode
Team pages: Rafael De Alba · Elijah Strode
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael De Alba
Elijah Strode
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael De Alba
4-6 (W-L)
Elijah Strode
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael De Alba 1461 · Elijah Strode 1549
| Rafael De Alba | Elijah Strode | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elijah Strode (rating 1461 vs 1549).
- Elijah Strode dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 40.1% break avg.
- Elijah Strode is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Rafael De Alba makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Elijah Strode makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Rafael De Alba | Elijah Strode | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.3 | 12.4-10 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael De Alba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Mauricio Schtulmann Gasca M15 Zamora |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 05/11 | Blu Baker M25 Guadalajara |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Matteo Covato M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 31/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M15 Mazatlan |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/10 | Lucca Liu M15 Mazatlan |
0-1 | 8-11 | L |
| 06/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Elijah Strode
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas M15 Zamora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros M25 Guadalajara |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Guillermo Tunas M25 Guadalajara |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 27/07 | Jack McGary M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Saud Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael De Alba vs Elijah Strode?
Our model gives 60% to Elijah Strode, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.