Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 11/11, 03:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Masaki Ishikawa
Team pages: Lorenzo Lorusso · Masaki Ishikawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Lorusso
Masaki Ishikawa
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Lorusso
5-5 (W-L)
Masaki Ishikawa
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Lorusso 1465 · Masaki Ishikawa 1539
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Masaki Ishikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Masaki Ishikawa (rating 1465 vs 1539).
- Lorenzo Lorusso dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Note: Lorenzo Lorusso makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Masaki Ishikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.9 | 9.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 40.4% | 23% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Lorusso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 23/10 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Azuma Visaya M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/10 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Niklas Waldner M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Masaki Ishikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Hao-Yu Lin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Ko Suzuki M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Riku Takahata M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 25/09 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Kuranosuke Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/09 | Kenta Kawada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/08 | Riku Takahata M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Lorusso vs Masaki Ishikawa?
Our model gives 58% to Lorenzo Lorusso, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.