Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 12/11, 05:00
Prediction: Rigele Te vs Linang Xiao
Team pages: Rigele Te · Linang Xiao
Prediction summary
Winner
Rigele Te
Linang Xiao
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rigele Te
7-3 (W-L)
Linang Xiao
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rigele Te
1–0
Linang Xiao
(1 last)
- 06 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rigele Te 1586 · Linang Xiao 1461
| Rigele Te | Linang Xiao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rigele Te (rating 1586 vs 1461).
- Rigele Te dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 42% break avg.
- Rigele Te is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Rigele Te 1–0 Linang Xiao (1).
Statistics
| Rigele Te | Linang Xiao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.7 | 12.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.1% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 42% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Rigele Te 1 – 0 Linang Xiao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rigele Te 1–0 Linang Xiao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/25 M15 Luan | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rigele Te
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/11 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Millen Hurrion M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/11 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Zhao Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/11 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Adam Walton ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Linang Xiao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Toshiki Karigyo M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Boxiong Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/10 | Jie Cui Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Boris Butulija M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 22/10 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Weiyi Kong M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Federico Cina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/09 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Chengdu · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rigele Te vs Linang Xiao?
Our model gives 72% to Rigele Te, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.