Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 12/11, 06:30
Prediction: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Dong Ju Kim
Team pages: Lorenzo Lorusso · Dong Ju Kim
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Lorusso
Dong Ju Kim
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Lorusso
5-5 (W-L)
Dong Ju Kim
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Lorusso 1471 · Dong Ju Kim 1538
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Dong Ju Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dong Ju Kim (rating 1471 vs 1538).
- Lorenzo Lorusso dominates on serve: 9.3 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Note: Lorenzo Lorusso makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Dong Ju Kim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.8 | 12.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Lorusso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Masaki Ishikawa M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/10 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 23/10 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Azuma Visaya M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/10 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Niklas Waldner M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Dong Ju Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Liangxuan Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Yan Cheng Chen M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-1 | 8-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 30/09 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Tran Quoc Cuong Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/09 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Kristjan Tamm Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Lorusso vs Dong Ju Kim?
Our model gives 67% to Dong Ju Kim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.