Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 12/11, 03:00
Prediction: James Connel vs Seong Chan Hong
Team pages: James Connel · Seong Chan Hong
Prediction summary
Winner
James Connel
Seong Chan Hong
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
James Connel
4-6 (W-L)
Seong Chan Hong
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Connel 1488 · Seong Chan Hong 1546
| James Connel | Seong Chan Hong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Seong Chan Hong (rating 1488 vs 1546).
Statistics
| James Connel | Seong Chan Hong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-10.3 | 11.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 35% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Connel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Zhenxiong Dong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Hyu Kawanishi M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Marcus Walters M15 Baku |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Baku |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Ivan Gretskiy M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Baku |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/09 | Louis Larue M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/09 | Damien Salvestre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Seong Chan Hong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Yeongseok Jeong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/11 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/11 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Yuquan Jin M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/10 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Alibek Kachmazov Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Yibing Wu Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Sumit Nagal Asian Games |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Connel vs Seong Chan Hong?
Our model gives 73% to Seong Chan Hong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.