Tennis · M15 Maanshan · 14/11, 04:30
Prediction: Rigele Te vs Noritaka Koizumi
Team pages: Rigele Te · Noritaka Koizumi
Prediction summary
Winner
Rigele Te
Noritaka Koizumi
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Rigele Te
9-1 (W-L)
Noritaka Koizumi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rigele Te 1600 · Noritaka Koizumi 1534
| Rigele Te | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rigele Te (rating 1600 vs 1534).
- Rigele Te dominates on serve: 9 aces and 50.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Rigele Te | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8 | 9.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 80.6% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rigele Te
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | James Connel M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/11 | Linang Xiao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/11 | Alexey Aleshchev M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/11 | Kristjan Tamm M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Millen Hurrion M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/11 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/11 | Zhao Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/11 | Yuta Kikuchi M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Cruz Hewitt Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/11 | Yue Xia M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/11 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 11/11 | Jintao Lan M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Yanagawa City |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Hikaru Hieda M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Takuya Kumasaka M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Riku Takahata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Urayasu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Riku Takahata M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rigele Te vs Noritaka Koizumi?
Our model gives 72% to Rigele Te, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.